Alianza Lima welcome ADT to the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva in Lima for a Primera Division fixture on September 19, 2026. The hosts enter the contest under pressure after a difficult recent sequence that includes a 2-1 defeat against Universitario on September 13. Nevertheless, their broader league record remains strong, and this home match offers an opportunity to respond against the division’s 18th-ranked side. ADT travel after losing 3-0 to Melgar and have struggled throughout the Clausura, so the contrast between Alianza Lima’s season-long numbers and the visitors’ defensive difficulties makes the home team the clear favorite. The win probabilities reinforce that assessment, giving Alianza Lima a 71% chance of victory, compared with 19% for the draw and 10% for an ADT win.

Alianza Lima Recent Form and Key Statistics

Alianza Lima are 11th in the Primera Division ranking and have collected one win, two draws and two defeats across their latest five matches. Their recent attacking output has been modest, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per game during that run, while they have conceded an average of 1.0. The 2-1 loss against Universitario was another setback, increasing the importance of producing a convincing reaction in front of their own supporters.

The hosts’ complete season figures provide a more positive picture. Alianza Lima have registered 15 wins, eight draws and only three defeats in the Primera Division, averaging 1.6 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded. The source article also credits them with 42 goals from 26 league rounds, highlighting an attack that has generally delivered despite the recent slowdown. Their defensive average is another important advantage when compared with an ADT side conceding far more regularly.

Home scoring consistency strengthens the case for Alianza Lima. They have found the net at least once in 19 of their last 20 home matches, a sequence that suggests ADT are unlikely to enjoy a comfortable evening defensively. Alianza Lima have also seen at least one first-half goal in each of their last 12 Primera Division fixtures. That trend points toward the match becoming active before the interval rather than remaining goalless for a prolonged period.

• Last five matches: one win, two draws and two defeats.
• Season record: 15 wins, eight draws and three losses.
• Season averages: 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match.
• Home scoring run: at least one Alianza Lima goal in 19 of their last 20 home games.
• First-half trend: over 0.5 goals in their last 12 league matches.

ADT Recent Form and Key Statistics

ADT arrive in Lima placed 18th in the Primera Division ranking. Their most recent result was a 3-0 loss against Melgar on September 6, and their last five matches have produced one victory, one draw and three defeats. During that sequence, they averaged 1.0 goal scored but conceded 2.4 per match, illustrating the imbalance that has made it difficult for them to obtain positive results.

The visitors’ season record stands at five wins, seven draws and 13 defeats. They have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in the Primera Division, while the source material reports 27 goals from 25 games and 39 goals allowed across the same number of league rounds. Those figures underline problems at both ends: their attack has not scored at a high rate, while their defense has regularly given opponents opportunities.

ADT have also lost at half-time in each of their last three Primera Division matches. That statistic is especially significant when placed alongside Alianza Lima’s run of 12 consecutive league games featuring a first-half goal. If the visitors once again begin slowly, the home side could have a valuable opportunity to establish control before the break.

The source article further describes ADT as winless through their eight Clausura matches and notes that they have won only one of their last 10 away fixtures. Their change of coach to Víctor Rivera had not resolved the team’s scoring issues at the time of the source material. Facing a home side with only three league defeats and a 0.7 average for goals conceded therefore represents a demanding assignment.

• Last five matches: one win, one draw and three defeats.
• Season record: five wins, seven draws and 13 losses.
• Season averages: 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
• Recent defensive average: 2.4 goals conceded across the last five games.
• Half-time record: behind at the interval in their last three league matches.

Alianza Lima vs ADT Match Analysis

The strongest statistical argument in this Primera Division preview is the difference between the teams’ overall league records. Alianza Lima have won 15 of their 26 matches and lost only three, whereas ADT have suffered 13 defeats in 25 games. The hosts also score more and concede less on average, giving them a clear advantage on both sides of the ball.

Recent form adds some caution because Alianza Lima have won only once in five matches. Their average of 0.8 goals during that period is notably lower than their season rate of 1.6, meaning an improved attacking display will be required. However, this fixture presents a favorable opening for that recovery. ADT have conceded an average of 2.4 goals in their latest five outings and come into the match after a three-goal defeat.

The head-to-head information is more balanced than the league standings. Across the summarized meetings, Alianza Lima have two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The latest encounter ended in a 1-0 win for Alianza Lima on April 14, 2026. The source material also states that ADT have never defeated Alianza Lima at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva and identifies a 3-1 home victory as another relevant precedent.

Goals before half-time are a prominent theme. Alianza Lima’s 12-match first-half scoring trend in league fixtures combines with ADT’s three consecutive half-time defeats to suggest that the opening period could be decisive. The probabilities also place Over 2.5 goals at 55%, although Both Teams To Score is rated slightly more likely to finish No at 56%. This creates a scenario in which Alianza Lima could carry much of the scoring responsibility.

Overall, the home side’s season record, reliable scoring at this venue and ADT’s defensive vulnerability outweigh Alianza Lima’s weaker short-term form. The visitors’ low ranking, 13 league defeats and poor recent concession rate make a home victory the most coherent conclusion, provided Alianza Lima convert their expected territorial and attacking advantage.

Alianza Lima vs ADT prediction from BetMines: Alianza Lima win (1) with 71% probability.