Alianza Lima host Atlético Grau in Peru’s Primera Division on October 18, 2026, with the match scheduled for 01:30 local time at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Alianza arrive after a 2-1 win over Cusco FC, while Grau’s most recent outing ended in a 0-0 draw with Los Chankas. Both teams have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five matches, but their season-long records and home-and-away trends give this fixture a different complexion. Alianza have lost only twice in 14 home games this year; Grau have won just once in their last six away appearances.

Alianza Lima’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Alianza Lima’s victory over Cusco FC on October 11 gave them a winning start to the build-up to this match. Their last five results have been mixed, with two victories, one draw and two losses, alongside averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Across the Primera Division season, however, their record is stronger: 17 wins, eight draws and three defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded.

Defence has been a defining feature of Alianza’s campaign. They have conceded 19 goals in 28 league matches, the lowest total mentioned for any side in the supplied match information. Their home results add to the case for a positive outcome: only two of their 14 home fixtures this year have ended in defeat. Alianza have also scored at least once in 19 of their last 20 home matches, a consistent run that puts their attacking record at this venue alongside their defensive strength.

There is an early-goal trend worth noting, too. At least one goal has been scored before half-time in each of Alianza Lima’s last 14 Primera Division matches. That statistic refers to total goals in those games, not necessarily goals scored by Alianza. For this preview, the clearer home-team picture is the combination of frequent scoring at home, a low season-long goals-conceded average and a record of just two home defeats in 14 attempts.

Atlético Grau’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Atlético Grau come into the fixture following their goalless draw with Los Chankas on October 8. Like Alianza, they have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five games. Grau have also averaged 1.4 goals scored over that stretch, although their average of 1.6 conceded is higher than Alianza’s 1.2 over the same number of matches.

The longer-term scoring figures are less encouraging for the visitors. Grau have scored 26 goals in 28 league matches, and their season averages stand at 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Their Primera Division record is nine wins, six draws and 13 defeats. The supplied match information also notes that they have not managed consecutive victories in their last six Clausura fixtures, underlining the difficulty they have had turning individual wins into a sustained run.

Results away from home present another challenge. Grau have claimed only one win in their last six away appearances. Their recent five-match return shows that they can find goals, but the 0-0 result against Los Chankas and their lower season-long scoring average offer a reminder that attacking output has not been consistent across the campaign. They now face an Alianza side whose defensive record is one of the strongest points in its favour.

Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau Match Analysis

The two teams enter with identical results across their last five matches, so recent wins and losses alone do not separate them. The broader figures favour Alianza Lima: 17 league victories to Grau’s nine, three defeats to Grau’s 13, and an average of 0.7 goals conceded per match compared with the visitors’ 1.1. Alianza’s home scoring sequence and Grau’s return of one win in six away appearances reinforce that contrast.

The head-to-head summary also leans toward the hosts, listing three Alianza wins, one draw and one defeat in five meetings with Atlético Grau. Across those matches, Alianza have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The most recent meeting, on April 26, 2026, finished 0-1. Those figures suggest that the matchup has often been decided by relatively narrow margins, even as the overall head-to-head record favours Alianza.

Grau’s average of 1.4 goals scored over their last five games means their recent attacking form should not be overlooked. Even so, Alianza’s home record, regular scoring at home and stronger defensive figures provide the more substantial case ahead of this Primera Division fixture. The supplied win probabilities put Alianza Lima at 65%, compared with 21% for a draw and 14% for Atlético Grau.

Alianza Lima vs Atlético Grau prediction from BetMines: Alianza Lima win (1) with 65% probability.