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Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Primera Division 19-04-2026

Alianza Lima

8 - 0

FT

Cusco FC

Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Carlos Sebastián Lozano Bedoya
light rain 25.9 °C

Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 1:13 PM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 1:13 PM

The upcoming clash between Alianza Lima and Cusco FC promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the Torneo Apertura’s 11th round. Taking place at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, this encounter brings together two sides with very different objectives but both eager to consolidate their positions in the standings. The home team are currently joint leaders with 23 points, while the visitors sit in seventh place with 13 points after a mixed start to their campaign. With both clubs coming off continental action and domestic challenges, this match could have a significant impact on the title race and the top-half battle.


Alianza Lima’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Alianza Lima approach this fixture in excellent form, having recorded a 1-0 away victory against ADT on April 14, 2026. That result helped them bounce back from their narrow defeat in the clásico and reaffirm their credentials as one of the strongest contenders for the Apertura crown. Their overall record in the Primera Division stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 loss, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per match. This balance between efficiency in attack and defensive solidity has been the foundation of their success so far.


At home, the Blanquiazules have been particularly dominant, winning all four of their matches at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. They have also managed to score in each of their last 12 home league games, a sign of their consistency in front of goal. Another remarkable statistic is that Alianza Lima have not been behind at half time in any of their last 20 matches, a streak that underlines their ability to control games from the start. Their last five outings across all competitions have produced 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game.



  • Ranking: 1st in Primera Division

  • Last 5 matches: 3W – 1D – 1L

  • Average goals: 1.3 scored / 0.5 conceded

  • Home form: 4 consecutive wins

  • Half-time record: unbeaten in last 20 matches


These numbers confirm that Alianza Lima are not only difficult to beat but also highly disciplined in their approach. Their ability to maintain focus throughout the first half and capitalize on key moments has been crucial. The team’s tactical structure has allowed them to dominate possession and limit opponents’ chances, making them the clear favorites heading into this encounter.


Cusco FC’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Cusco FC arrive in Lima after a demanding schedule that included back-to-back appearances in the Copa Libertadores. Despite suffering defeats against Flamengo (0-2) and Estudiantes (1-2), their performances were competitive and showed glimpses of improvement. Domestically, they have accumulated 13 points from 9 matches, with a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Their average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game reflects a balanced but inconsistent side that can be dangerous when given space.


In their last five league matches, Cusco FC have registered 2 wins and 3 defeats, scoring 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Away from home, however, their defensive fragility has been evident: they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 away fixtures. On the positive side, they tend to be more productive after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of their last 12 matches. This suggests that their attacking rhythm improves as the game progresses, although maintaining defensive concentration remains a challenge.



  • Ranking: 7th in Primera Division

  • Last 5 matches: 2W – 0D – 3L

  • Average goals: 1.3 scored / 1.1 conceded

  • Away record: conceded in last 12 away matches

  • Second-half trend: over 0.5 goals in last 12 matches


While Cusco FC have shown resilience and attacking intent, their away form remains a concern. The absence of altitude advantage and the defensive lapses on the road have cost them valuable points. Nevertheless, their ability to stay competitive in the first half—having avoided defeat at half time in 19 of their last 21 matches—could help them resist Alianza Lima’s early pressure.


Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC Tactical Overview and Prediction


This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting strengths. Alianza Lima rely on their structured defense and efficient finishing, while Cusco FC depend on their dynamic transitions and second-half surges. The home side’s unbeaten record at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva and their consistent scoring form make them the favorites, but Cusco’s capacity to respond after the interval could add intrigue to the contest.


Historically, the head-to-head record slightly favors Cusco FC, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five meetings. However, Alianza Lima won the most recent encounter 2-0 in July 2025, a result that may boost their confidence ahead of this match. Given the current form and statistical trends, a tight and tactical battle is expected, with limited scoring opportunities and both teams focusing on minimizing mistakes.


Considering the data from recent performances and the balance between attack and defense, the most likely scenario points toward a match with few goals. Alianza Lima’s solid backline and Cusco FC’s inconsistent finishing away from home suggest that the total number of goals could remain low, aligning with the expectation of a controlled and strategic encounter.


Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.

Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC - Predictions

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Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Alianza Lima

Cusco FC

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Alianza Lima and Cusco FC in Primera Division

Apertura - Ranking

Team

1

Alianza Lima

17

12

4

1

30:8

40

2.35

W
D
W
W
D
6

Cusco FC

17

8

3

6

21:24

27

1.59

D
D
L
W
W
Champion Play-off

Who will win ?

Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC be played?
The Primera Division match between Alianza Lima and Cusco FC will be played on April 19, 2026 at 01:00.
Where will Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC be played?
The match between Alianza Lima and Cusco FC will be played at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima - Peru
Who will referee Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC?
The referee for the match will be Carlos Sebastián Lozano Bedoya.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC in the Primera Division?
The odds are: Alianza Lima to win 1.38, draw 4.50, Cusco FC to win 8.00.
What are the betting odds for Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Primera Division?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.95 and Under 2.5 at 1.85.
Will both Alianza Lima and Cusco FC score in the Primera Division?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.10, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.66.
What is the most likely correct score for Alianza Lima vs Cusco FC in the Primera Division?
The most likely correct score is 1-0, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Alianza Lima and Cusco FC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima and Cusco FC, Alianza Lima won 1 times, Cusco FC won 3, and 1 ended in a draw.

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