Tools
Alianza Lima
3 - 0
FT
Los Chankas
Prediction published on May 22, 2026 2:03 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on May 22, 2026 2:03 AM
The upcoming clash between Alianza Lima and Los Chankas CYC promises to be one of the most decisive fixtures in the Liga 1 Apertura race. Both sides have been among the most consistent performers this season, sitting first and second in the standings respectively. With only a few points separating them, this encounter could play a crucial role in determining who takes the lead in the championship. The home side arrives in excellent form, while the visitors will look to maintain their momentum after returning to winning ways last weekend.
Alianza Lima approach this match in outstanding shape. Their recent 0-1 away victory against Cienciano on May 16 extended their unbeaten streak to five matches, with four wins and one draw. During this run, they have averaged 2.6 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per game, a testament to their balance between attack and defense. Over the course of the season, they have recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per match while conceding only 0.5.
Their home record is particularly impressive. Alianza Lima have not lost in their last 15 home games in the Primera Division, scoring at least once in each of those fixtures. They have also avoided defeat at half time in their last 23 league matches, showing remarkable consistency from the opening whistle. The team’s ability to control the tempo early on has been a defining feature of their campaign, often allowing them to dictate the rhythm and frustrate opponents.
With such strong numbers, Alianza Lima enter this fixture as clear favorites. Their defensive solidity and attacking efficiency make them a formidable opponent, especially when playing in front of their home supporters.
Los Chankas CYC come into this match after a narrow 1-0 home win over UCV Moquegua on May 17, a result that ended a three-game winless streak. That victory helped them regain confidence and maintain their position near the top of the table. So far this season, they have achieved 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game while conceding 1.1.
In their last five matches, Los Chankas have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. While their attacking output has dipped slightly in recent weeks, their ability to grind out results remains notable. They have also shown strength in the first half of games, leading at half time in six of their last ten league fixtures.
Although their defensive record is less solid than that of their upcoming rivals, Los Chankas remain a dangerous side capable of creating chances through quick transitions and pressing high up the pitch. Their challenge will be to maintain composure against a team that rarely allows space or easy opportunities.
The historical record between these two sides favors Alianza Lima, who have won four of their last five meetings, drawing once and losing none. They have averaged 1.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded in those encounters. The most recent head-to-head ended 1-2 in favor of Alianza Lima on November 5, 2025, confirming their dominance in this matchup.
From a tactical perspective, this game is expected to be tight and physical, especially in midfield. Alianza Lima will likely look to impose their rhythm early, using their home advantage to press high and control possession. Los Chankas, on the other hand, may adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on defensive organization and quick counterattacks. Given both teams’ recent trends, the first half could be particularly cagey, with limited scoring opportunities.
Considering the defensive strength of the hosts and the visitors’ recent struggles in front of goal, a low-scoring first half seems likely. The match could open up later, but early on, both sides are expected to prioritize stability over risk-taking.
According to the latest data, Alianza Lima hold a significant advantage with a 75% probability of winning, while the draw stands at 17% and an away victory for Los Chankas at just 8%. The Both Teams To Score – No option is slightly favored at 54%, and the Under 2.5 goals market also shows a 54% likelihood. These figures align with the expectation of a disciplined, tactical battle rather than an open, high-scoring affair.
Given the trends and the importance of the fixture, BetMines prediction leans towards a home win (1) with a 75% probability. Alianza Lima’s consistency, defensive resilience, and home advantage make them the logical pick to secure another crucial victory in their pursuit of the Apertura title.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Alianza Lima
Los Chankas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
7
3
6
4
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2