Tools
Alianza Lima
1 - 0
FT
Sport Boys
Prediction published on Feb 19, 2026 2:04 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Feb 19, 2026 2:04 AM
The fourth round of the Peruvian Apertura brings an intriguing clash between Alianza Lima and Sport Boys, two sides with contrasting ambitions and recent form. The match will take place at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, where the home side will look to extend their unbeaten start to the league campaign. Despite their solid domestic record, Alianza Lima’s early exit from continental competition has raised questions about their consistency and tactical approach. For Sport Boys, this fixture represents a major test of their ability to compete away from home after a mixed start to the season.
Alianza Lima enter this encounter sitting fourth in the Primera División standings, having collected two wins and one draw so far. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-0 draw against Alianza Atlético on February 15, 2026. Over their last five matches in all competitions, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. These numbers reflect a team that prioritizes defensive stability while maintaining enough attacking efficiency to secure results.
At home, Alianza Lima have been particularly dominant. They have won eight of their last ten matches at the Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, scoring 12 goals in their most recent five home fixtures. Moreover, they have not lost at half time in their last 13 matches overall, and in Primera División play, they have avoided trailing at the break in 26 of their last 29 games. Their attacking rhythm often builds early, as shown by their record of winning at half time in their last three home league matches. Another notable trend is the high-scoring nature of their home fixtures — over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of their last nine home league games.
Despite some internal uncertainty following their Copa Libertadores elimination, the Blanquiazules remain a formidable force domestically. Their season averages of 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match underline a balanced side capable of controlling games both offensively and defensively. With a strong home record and a solid defensive base, Alianza Lima will aim to reaffirm their title credentials in front of their supporters.
Sport Boys arrive at this fixture in tenth place, having earned their first win of the season with a 1-0 victory over Atlético Grau on February 14, 2026. That result provided a much-needed boost after a slow start to the campaign. Across their last five matches, the Rosados have managed one win, one draw, and three defeats, averaging just 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their attacking struggles have been evident, with only two goals scored in their first three league fixtures.
On the road, Sport Boys have found it difficult to impose themselves. They have won only one of their last ten away matches, a statistic that highlights their vulnerability when playing outside Callao. Their season averages — 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match — suggest a cautious approach, often prioritizing defensive organization over attacking risk. However, this strategy has not always translated into points, particularly against stronger opposition.
In terms of head-to-head history, Sport Boys have struggled to contain Alianza Lima. In their last five meetings, they have lost four and won just once, conceding an average of 0.4 goals per game while allowing their opponents to score two on average. Their last encounter ended in a 3-1 defeat on October 17, 2025, a result that underlines the gap between the two sides in recent seasons.
This fixture presents a clear contrast in form and momentum. Alianza Lima have been consistent at home, combining defensive solidity with attacking sharpness, while Sport Boys continue to search for stability and confidence away from home. The hosts’ ability to control matches early and maintain composure under pressure makes them strong favorites to secure another positive result.
Given the statistical trends, this match could follow a familiar pattern: Alianza Lima dictating possession and creating chances, while Sport Boys focus on containment and counterattacks. The visitors’ limited scoring output and poor away record suggest they may struggle to find the net, especially against a defense that has conceded less than a goal per game this season.
Historically, encounters between these two sides have produced goals, but the current form points toward a more controlled performance from the home team. With Alianza Lima’s strong home record and Sport Boys’ offensive difficulties, the likelihood of both teams scoring appears low.
BetMines Prediction:
The analysis favors Both Teams To Score – No with a probability of 55%. Alianza Lima’s defensive consistency and Sport Boys’ limited attacking threat make this outcome the most likely scenario for this Primera División clash.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2