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Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Primera Division 16-08-2026

Alianza Lima

1 - 0

FT

UTC Cajamarca

Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Joel Alarcón
overcast clouds 23.03 °C

Prediction published on Aug 14, 2026 1:04 AM by Dario in Peru - Primera Division | Modified on Aug 14, 2026 1:04 AM

Alianza Lima host UTC Cajamarca on August 16, 2026, in a Primera Division fixture that brings together teams in sharply contrasting positions. The home side are second in the rankings and need to return to winning ways after drawing 1-1 with Sport Boys, while UTC Cajamarca sit 17th following their own 1-1 draw against ADT. Alianza enter the contest with a strong season record, an extended unbeaten sequence at home and an excellent recent history against this opponent. UTC, meanwhile, are trying to end a long winless run in the competition while dealing with defensive problems and a difficult institutional situation. These contrasting trends make the match an important opportunity for Alianza to strengthen their campaign, but the hosts will still need to turn their statistical superiority into a convincing performance.

Alianza Lima Recent Form and Key Statistics

Alianza Lima have recorded 14 wins, six draws and only one defeat in the Primera Division this season. Their average of 1.8 goals scored per match is supported by a defensive figure of just 0.6 goals conceded per game. The original match context also highlights that they have allowed only 13 goals across 21 league fixtures, identifying their defensive record as the strongest in Peru. That solidity has been a major part of a campaign which currently places them second in the rankings.
Their immediate form has been slightly less dominant. Alianza have collected two wins, two draws and one defeat across their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding 1.4. The latest result was the 1-1 draw against Sport Boys on August 9. That dropped points from their previous outing increase the importance of this home assignment, especially as they are looking to return to the top of the tournament.
Home form provides the clearest reason for confidence. Alianza have not lost in their last 18 home matches, while their unbeaten league sequence at home stands at 16 fixtures. They have also scored at least once in each of their last 18 home Primera Division games. Their consistency extends beyond home matches: they have avoided defeat in 27 of their previous 28 league outings and in 20 of their last 21 matches overall.
The hosts have also been difficult to put under early pressure. They have not been behind at half time in their last 15 home fixtures, including 14 consecutive home league matches. Across the wider sample, Alianza have avoided a half-time deficit in 29 of their last 31 games. There has frequently been action after the interval as well, with at least one second-half goal occurring in 18 of their previous 20 home matches. Under Pablo Guede, the combination of scoring consistency, defensive strength and home resilience gives Alianza a powerful foundation for this contest.

UTC Cajamarca Recent Form and Key Statistics

UTC Cajamarca arrive with a season record of four wins, eight draws and nine defeats. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while the broader context shows that they have allowed 34 goals in 21 league games. That defensive return contrasts significantly with Alianza’s numbers and helps explain why UTC are currently 17th in the Primera Division rankings.
The visitors drew 1-1 with ADT on August 8. Over their last five fixtures, they have managed one victory, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. More importantly, UTC have failed to win any of their last 15 Primera Division matches. The supplied match context adds that they have yet to win in the Clausura and have had points removed because of debts, contributing to the serious institutional situation surrounding the club and leaving them among the relegation candidates.
Their away statistics underline the difficulty of this trip. UTC have not been ahead at half time in any of their last 17 away league matches and have gone into the interval behind in each of the previous three. They have also conceded at least one goal in their last 13 away Primera Division fixtures. With Alianza scoring in 18 consecutive home league matches, that pattern represents one of the central challenges facing Cristian Paulucci and his squad.
UTC’s away games have regularly produced more than one goal, with over 1.5 total goals landing in their last 15 league fixtures on the road. At least one second-half goal has also been scored in each of their previous 14 away league games and in 25 of their last 27 Primera Division matches overall. These numbers suggest that the contest may remain active after the break, particularly if UTC’s defensive difficulties continue against a home side that has scored reliably.

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Match Analysis

The available evidence gives Alianza Lima several clear advantages. They possess the stronger season record, sit 15 places above UTC in the rankings and have lost only once in 21 league matches. Their home sequence is especially persuasive: 18 matches without defeat and a goal scored in every one of those Primera Division home fixtures. Those trends are reinforced by a defense that has conceded only 13 times in 21 league games.
The head-to-head record also favors the hosts. Alianza have not lost any of their last 10 direct meetings with UTC, described as their longest active unbeaten sequence against a Primera Division opponent. The supplied five-match head-to-head summary gives Alianza four victories and one draw, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-0 Alianza Lima victory on February 28, 2026.
UTC Cajamarca must therefore overcome both their current league run and an unfavorable matchup history. Their inability to win in 15 consecutive league games, combined with goals conceded in 13 straight away fixtures, leaves little margin for error. Alianza should nevertheless avoid complacency after taking only a draw against Sport Boys, while UTC’s recent scoring average shows that the visitors can still contribute offensively.
Overall, this Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca preview points toward a match in which the hosts are expected to control the key moments through their stronger defensive record, dependable home scoring and sustained unbeaten form. UTC’s best route to a competitive result is to improve on their recent away starts and remain level for longer than in their previous three road games, when they were behind at half time. If Alianza reproduce their season-long consistency, they will have a strong platform from which to pursue the three points they need.

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca - Predictions

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Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Alianza Lima

UTC Cajamarca

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

60%

6

40%

4

BetMines

Standings of Alianza Lima and UTC Cajamarca in Primera Division

Apertura - Ranking

Team

1

Alianza Lima

17

12

4

1

30:8

40

2.35

W
D
W
W
D
13

UTC Cajamarca

17

4

6

7

21:26

18

1.06

L
L
L
D
D
Champion Play-off

Clausura - Ranking

Team

8

Alianza Lima

8

3

4

1

11:8

13

1.63

D
W
D
L
D
17

UTC Cajamarca

8

0

2

6

8:19

2

0.25

D
L
L
L
L
Champion Play-off

Who will win ?

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca: Frequently asked questions

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When will Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca be played?
The Primera Division match between Alianza Lima and UTC Cajamarca will be played on August 16, 2026 at 00:30.
Where will Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca be played?
The match between Alianza Lima and UTC Cajamarca will be played at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima - Peru
Who will referee Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca?
The referee for the match will be Joel Alarcón.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca in the Primera Division?
The odds are: Alianza Lima to win 1.28, draw 5.00, UTC Cajamarca to win 10.00.
What are the betting odds for Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Primera Division?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.75 and Under 2.5 at 2.05.
Will both Alianza Lima and UTC Cajamarca score in the Primera Division?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.25, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.57.
What is the most likely correct score for Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca in the Primera Division?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Alianza Lima and UTC Cajamarca?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima and UTC Cajamarca, Alianza Lima won 4 times, UTC Cajamarca won 0, and 1 ended in a draw.

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