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Almere City vs De Graafschap Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Eerste Divisie 18-01-2026

Almere City

2 - 0

FT

De Graafschap

Yanmar Stadion
Martin van den Kerkhof
broken clouds 5.16 °C

Prediction published on Jan 16, 2026 2:06 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Jan 16, 2026 2:06 PM

The Keuken Kampioen Divisie resumes on Sunday, January 18, with an exciting clash between Almere City and De Graafschap. Both sides have been among the most consistent performers in the Dutch second tier this season, and this encounter promises to be one of the standout fixtures of the weekend. Almere City already returned to action earlier in the week in the KNVB Cup, while De Graafschap are set to kick off their second half of the campaign with this match. With both teams sitting in the top six, the stakes are high as they look to strengthen their promotion ambitions.


Almere City’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Almere City have been one of the most entertaining sides in the Eerste Divisie, combining attacking flair with a fearless approach. Before the winter break, they were in excellent form, stringing together five consecutive victories across all competitions. Their run included wins over FC Emmen (4-2), Fortuna Sittard (2-3) in the KNVB Cup, Jong PSV (2-3), Jong Ajax (3-2), and TOP Oss (1-2). However, their return to competitive action saw them fall 1-3 to Telstar in the cup on January 14.


In league play, Almere City currently occupy sixth place with 32 points from 21 matches (10 wins, 2 draws, 9 defeats). They have averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, reflecting their open and attacking style. Their recent five-match record stands at four wins and one loss, with an average of 2.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. The team has been particularly strong at home, winning at half time in their last four home league games and scoring in each of their last 12 matches overall.



  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in each of Almere City’s last 27 matches.

  • Over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in 21 of their last 22 fixtures.

  • Both teams scored in the second half in their last five matches.

  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of their last nine games.


These numbers underline Almere City’s attacking consistency and tendency to produce high-scoring encounters, especially at home, where they have seen over 1.5 goals in each of their last 11 Eerste Divisie matches.


De Graafschap’s Recent Form and Key Stats


De Graafschap enter this fixture sitting third in the table with 37 points from 21 matches (11 wins, 4 draws, 6 defeats). They ended 2025 on a positive note, winning 2-3 away at TOP Oss on December 20. Their last five matches have produced four wins and one defeat, with an average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. This attacking efficiency has been a key factor in their rise up the standings.


De Graafschap’s matches have been consistently entertaining, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 19 games and over 0.5 goals in the second half in 21 of their last 23. They have also scored at least twice in each of their last 11 matches, showing a strong offensive rhythm. However, their defense has been less reliable, conceding at least one goal in 23 of their last 24 league fixtures and in each of their last 17 away games.



  • Over 8.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 14 away matches.

  • Over 1.5 goals have been scored in their last 10 away league games.

  • They have won at half time in six of their last ten Eerste Divisie matches.

  • Both teams have scored in most of their recent fixtures, reflecting their attacking mindset but defensive vulnerability.


De Graafschap’s away form has been productive but unpredictable. While they often find the net, their tendency to concede makes them susceptible against teams with strong home records like Almere City.


Almere City vs De Graafschap Analysis and Prediction


When these two sides met earlier in the season, De Graafschap edged a thrilling 3-2 victory on September 29, 2025. Historically, De Graafschap have had the upper hand in this fixture, with one win for Almere City, one draw, and three defeats in their last five head-to-head meetings. However, Almere City’s recent home form and attacking momentum suggest this could be a much closer contest.


Both teams have shown a clear pattern of high-scoring matches, with Over 2.5 goals landing in the majority of their recent games. Almere City’s ability to score consistently, combined with De Graafschap’s attacking prowess and defensive lapses, points toward another open and entertaining encounter. The likelihood of both teams finding the net is also high, given that both have scored in their last 12 matches.


With Almere City’s home advantage and their strong run before the break, they may have a slight edge. However, De Graafschap’s attacking form ensures that this fixture remains finely balanced and could swing either way depending on key moments in front of goal.


BetMines Prediction:
Over 2.5 goals with a 69% probability.

Almere City vs De Graafschap - Predictions

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Almere City vs De Graafschap: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Almere City

De Graafschap

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Almere City and De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

4

De Graafschap

38

18

9

11

74:58

63

1.66

D
W
D
W
L
5

Almere City

38

18

4

16

78:63

58

1.53

W
L
L
W
L
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Possible Promotion Play-off

Who will win ?

Almere City vs De Graafschap: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Almere City vs De Graafschap be played?
The Eerste Divisie match between Almere City and De Graafschap will be played on January 18, 2026 at 13:30.
Where will Almere City vs De Graafschap be played?
The match between Almere City and De Graafschap will be played at Yanmar Stadion, Almere - Netherlands
Who will referee Almere City vs De Graafschap?
The referee for the match will be Martin van den Kerkhof.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Almere City vs De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie?
The odds are: Almere City to win 1.75, draw 4.10, De Graafschap to win 4.00.
What are the betting odds for Almere City vs De Graafschap for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Eerste Divisie?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.30 and Under 2.5 at 3.50.
Will both Almere City and De Graafschap score in the Eerste Divisie?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.30, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 3.40.
What is the most likely correct score for Almere City vs De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie?
The most likely correct score is 2-1, with odds of 9.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Almere City and De Graafschap?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Almere City and De Graafschap, Almere City won 1 times, De Graafschap won 3, and 1 ended in a draw.

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