Tools
Almere City
2 - 0
FT
De Graafschap
Prediction published on Jan 16, 2026 2:06 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Jan 16, 2026 2:06 PM
The Keuken Kampioen Divisie resumes on Sunday, January 18, with an exciting clash between Almere City and De Graafschap. Both sides have been among the most consistent performers in the Dutch second tier this season, and this encounter promises to be one of the standout fixtures of the weekend. Almere City already returned to action earlier in the week in the KNVB Cup, while De Graafschap are set to kick off their second half of the campaign with this match. With both teams sitting in the top six, the stakes are high as they look to strengthen their promotion ambitions.
Almere City have been one of the most entertaining sides in the Eerste Divisie, combining attacking flair with a fearless approach. Before the winter break, they were in excellent form, stringing together five consecutive victories across all competitions. Their run included wins over FC Emmen (4-2), Fortuna Sittard (2-3) in the KNVB Cup, Jong PSV (2-3), Jong Ajax (3-2), and TOP Oss (1-2). However, their return to competitive action saw them fall 1-3 to Telstar in the cup on January 14.
In league play, Almere City currently occupy sixth place with 32 points from 21 matches (10 wins, 2 draws, 9 defeats). They have averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, reflecting their open and attacking style. Their recent five-match record stands at four wins and one loss, with an average of 2.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. The team has been particularly strong at home, winning at half time in their last four home league games and scoring in each of their last 12 matches overall.
These numbers underline Almere City’s attacking consistency and tendency to produce high-scoring encounters, especially at home, where they have seen over 1.5 goals in each of their last 11 Eerste Divisie matches.
De Graafschap enter this fixture sitting third in the table with 37 points from 21 matches (11 wins, 4 draws, 6 defeats). They ended 2025 on a positive note, winning 2-3 away at TOP Oss on December 20. Their last five matches have produced four wins and one defeat, with an average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. This attacking efficiency has been a key factor in their rise up the standings.
De Graafschap’s matches have been consistently entertaining, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 19 games and over 0.5 goals in the second half in 21 of their last 23. They have also scored at least twice in each of their last 11 matches, showing a strong offensive rhythm. However, their defense has been less reliable, conceding at least one goal in 23 of their last 24 league fixtures and in each of their last 17 away games.
De Graafschap’s away form has been productive but unpredictable. While they often find the net, their tendency to concede makes them susceptible against teams with strong home records like Almere City.
When these two sides met earlier in the season, De Graafschap edged a thrilling 3-2 victory on September 29, 2025. Historically, De Graafschap have had the upper hand in this fixture, with one win for Almere City, one draw, and three defeats in their last five head-to-head meetings. However, Almere City’s recent home form and attacking momentum suggest this could be a much closer contest.
Both teams have shown a clear pattern of high-scoring matches, with Over 2.5 goals landing in the majority of their recent games. Almere City’s ability to score consistently, combined with De Graafschap’s attacking prowess and defensive lapses, points toward another open and entertaining encounter. The likelihood of both teams finding the net is also high, given that both have scored in their last 12 matches.
With Almere City’s home advantage and their strong run before the break, they may have a slight edge. However, De Graafschap’s attacking form ensures that this fixture remains finely balanced and could swing either way depending on key moments in front of goal.
BetMines Prediction:
Over 2.5 goals with a 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Almere City
De Graafschap
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
1
9
2
8
3.5
4
6
4
6
4.5
7
3
7
3