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Prediction published on Dec 3, 2025 9:07 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Dec 3, 2025 9:07 PM
The Keuken Kampioen Divisie continues on Friday, December 5, with a regional clash between Almere City FC and Jong Ajax. Although not a top-of-the-table encounter, the proximity between Almere and Amsterdam gives this fixture a derby flavor. Both sides are looking to improve their league positions as the season heads into its decisive winter phase.
Almere City currently sit 11th in the Eerste Divisie, a somewhat disappointing position for a team that was relegated from the Eredivisie last season. However, recent performances suggest that the team is finding its rhythm again. In their last five matches, Almere City have collected four wins and suffered just one defeat. Victories over FC Dordrecht (0-1), MVV Maastricht (4-0), VVV-Venlo (3-0), and TOP Oss (1-2) have boosted confidence, with the only setback being a 5-2 loss away to FC Den Bosch.
Across the season, Almere City’s record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their attacking play has been particularly effective at home, where they have led at half-time in 6 of their last 10 matches. The team’s second-half performances have also been consistent, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in each of their last 11 home games and in 22 consecutive matches overall. These numbers underline Almere’s ability to maintain intensity throughout the 90 minutes.
Coach and fans alike will expect the team to capitalize on their strong home form against a struggling Jong Ajax side. With the attacking line firing again and the defense showing signs of improvement, Almere City will aim to close the gap to the top half of the table before the winter break.
Jong Ajax find themselves in 19th place, having collected only 12 points from 18 matches. Their season has been turbulent, marked by defensive fragility and inconsistency in attack. The young Amsterdam side recently ended a winless streak with a 2-0 home victory over Vitesse, a result that lifted them off the bottom of the table. Before that, they had suffered defeats to SC Cambuur (4-1), FC Eindhoven (1-3), and Helmond Sport (2-1), while managing a goalless draw against FC Dordrecht.
Overall, Jong Ajax’s record in the Eerste Divisie stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses. They average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game. Their away form is particularly concerning: the team has conceded at least one goal in each of their last 19 away matches and have trailed at half-time in their last four away fixtures. Despite their attacking potential, defensive lapses have repeatedly cost them valuable points.
Still, the young Ajax squad remains unpredictable. Their ability to produce moments of brilliance cannot be underestimated, but consistency remains the main challenge. Facing an experienced Almere City side away from home will test their resilience and tactical discipline.
Historically, this fixture has been competitive, with Almere City winning three of the last five meetings and Jong Ajax taking two. The most recent encounter ended 0-2 in favor of Jong Ajax in March 2023. However, current form suggests a different dynamic this time around. Almere City’s recent scoring run and home advantage make them clear favorites, while Jong Ajax’s defensive vulnerabilities could once again be exposed.
Both teams tend to produce open matches, with over 2.5 goals scored in a majority of their recent fixtures. Almere’s attacking efficiency and Jong Ajax’s tendency to concede make another high-scoring game likely. Furthermore, both sides have shown a pattern of goals arriving in the second half, which could make the latter stages of the match particularly entertaining.
For Almere City, maintaining their momentum is crucial to staying in touch with the promotion playoff spots. For Jong Ajax, any positive result would be a welcome boost in their fight to climb out of the lower ranks. Given the current trends, the home side appears better equipped to secure the three points.
Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Almere City win (1) with a 63% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 18%, while a Jong Ajax win (2) stands at 18%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Almere City
Jong Ajax
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
1
9
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
7
3
6
4