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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2025 8:12 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Oct 22, 2025 9:18 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between Almere City and Jong AZ promises to be an open and entertaining encounter. Scheduled for Friday, October 24, 2025 at the Yanmar Stadion, this fixture brings together two sides level on points and struggling for consistency in the Dutch second tier. Both teams have collected just 11 points so far, occupying the 16th and 17th positions respectively. With both defences conceding heavily and their attacks showing flashes of quality, fans can expect a match filled with chances and goals.
Almere City enter this round in poor form, having gone five matches without a win. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 defeat to Roda JC Kerkrade on October 20, marking their seventh loss of the campaign. Despite their struggles, Almere’s matches have been anything but dull. The team has scored 22 goals and conceded 20 across 12 league games, averaging nearly 3.5 total goals per match. Their attacking play remains their main strength, led by the in-form Byron Burgering, who has already netted seven goals and provided two assists.
However, defensive lapses continue to cost Almere valuable points. They have conceded at least once in most of their recent fixtures, and their inability to maintain clean sheets has seen them slide down the table. The statistics underline their attacking nature: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 10 Eerste Divisie matches, while Over 0.5 goals in the second half has occurred in their last 15 games. These trends suggest that Almere’s matches often come alive after the break, with late drama a common feature at the Yanmar Stadion.
At home, Almere will look to rediscover their rhythm and end their winless streak. Their attacking trio has shown potential, but defensive discipline will be crucial if they are to avoid another setback. The fans will expect a reaction, especially given the importance of this fixture against a direct rival in the lower half of the table.
Jong AZ have endured a similarly turbulent season, but their recent form offers a glimmer of hope. The young Alkmaar side produced one of their best performances of the campaign last week, thrashing Willem II 4-0 at home. That victory ended a run of mixed results and showcased their attacking potential. Over their last five matches, Jong AZ have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding 2.0.
Defensive issues remain their biggest concern, with 23 goals conceded so far this season. However, their offensive output has been encouraging, finding the net 18 times in 12 matches. The standout performer has been Sem van Duijn, who leads the scoring charts for Jong AZ with six goals and one assist. His movement and finishing have been key to their attacking play, and he will once again be central to their hopes in Almere.
Despite their youth and inexperience, Jong AZ have shown resilience in recent weeks. Their ability to create scoring opportunities makes them a dangerous opponent, particularly against teams that leave space at the back. However, their defensive fragility could be exploited by Almere’s quick forwards, setting the stage for a high-scoring contest.
When these two sides meet, goals are almost guaranteed. Their previous head-to-head encounters have often been lively, with the last meeting ending 2-1 in April 2023. Across their last five clashes, Almere have won twice and lost three times, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Both teams’ current form and statistical profiles point towards another open affair.
Almere’s attacking intent, combined with their defensive vulnerabilities, mirrors Jong AZ’s own style. Both sides have been involved in matches with multiple goals, and their respective averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.7–1.9 conceded underline their tendency to both score and concede freely. The fact that Over 1.5 goals has landed in every recent Almere match and that Jong AZ’s games also regularly feature high totals reinforces the expectation of an entertaining fixture.
Given their similar records and attacking strengths, this match could swing either way. Almere’s home advantage might give them a slight edge, but Jong AZ’s confidence after their emphatic win over Willem II cannot be ignored. The most likely scenario is a match filled with end-to-end action, where both teams find the net and the scoreboard keeps ticking.
BetMines Prediction:
The most likely outcome is an Almere City win (1) with a 51% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 22%, while a Jong AZ win (2) stands at 27%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Almere City
Jong AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
1
9
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
7
3
7
3