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Almere City
6:00 PM
October 23, 2026
Roda JC Kerkrade
Prediction published on Oct 21, 2026 6:18 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Oct 21, 2026 6:18 PM
Almere City host Roda JC Kerkrade at Yanmar Stadion on Friday, October 23, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. The Eerste Divisie fixture brings together the teams in second and sixth place, separated by three points after 11 matches. Almere have collected 22 points but arrive following a defeat to FC Emmen. Roda have 19 points and come into the match after a win over Jong FC Utrecht. With both sides looking to strengthen their positions, recent form and their competitive head-to-head record make this an intriguing contest.
Almere City have won seven, drawn one and lost three of their 11 Eerste Divisie matches. They average 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, giving them the stronger attacking return of the two teams. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 loss to FC Emmen on October 17, a setback after victories over FC Eindhoven and FC Volendam by scores of 3-0 and 1-0 respectively.
Those results capture Almere’s recent pattern: three wins and two defeats across their last five games, with no draws. They also lost 3-2 to FC Dordrecht during that run but beat Heracles 1-0. Over those five matches, Almere averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Their ability to find a goal has been particularly consistent across a longer stretch, with at least one goal scored in 22 of their last 23 Eerste Divisie matches.
There are other recurring features in Almere’s results. Their last 17 league matches have each produced more than 7.5 corners, while 22 of their last 23 league games have featured at least one second-half goal. Those figures do not settle the outcome of Friday’s match, but they underline how regularly Almere’s games have included attacking activity and a goal after the interval. Their immediate priority is to respond to the Emmen defeat without losing the scoring consistency that has supported their second-place position.
Roda JC Kerkrade have taken five wins, four draws and two defeats from their first 11 league fixtures. Their averages stand at 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Compared with Almere’s record, Roda have scored less often but conceded at the same average rate. They arrive after beating Jong FC Utrecht 2-1 on October 19, a result that kept them within three points of their hosts.
Roda’s last five matches have brought two wins, two draws and one defeat. Alongside the victory over Jong FC Utrecht, they beat RKC 2-0, drew 0-0 with Jong Ajax and 1-1 with Jong PSV, and lost 2-0 to VVV-Venlo. Across those five games, Roda averaged 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 conceded. The draws and the goalless defeat show that goals have not always come easily, while their two victories demonstrate that they can still turn tight games into wins.
Recent meetings also give Roda reason to approach this fixture with confidence. They won 1-0 away to Almere in the previous season, and the most recent head-to-head result supplied for this preview was a 2-1 Roda win on January 30, 2026. Across the five meetings in the head-to-head summary, Almere have won twice and Roda three times, with no draws. Almere averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded in those games, so their higher current league position does not erase the challenge posed by this opponent.
The central question in this Almere City vs Roda JC Kerkrade preview is whether Almere’s stronger league scoring record will carry more weight than Roda’s recent success in the fixture. Almere have scored at least once in 22 of their last 23 league matches and have registered three wins in their last five outings. Yet their two defeats in that sequence, against FC Dordrecht and FC Emmen, show that their results have not been uniformly convincing.
Roda, meanwhile, have lost only twice in 11 league games and once in their last five. Their 19-point total keeps them close to Almere despite the gap between the teams’ league positions. The visitors’ lower scoring average makes Almere’s attacking output a notable advantage, but Roda’s identical 0.8 goals-conceded average and their recent head-to-head wins offer a counterargument. Neither team’s recent results make this a straightforward match to call.
Almere’s home fixture gives them an opportunity to answer their latest defeat immediately. If they maintain the scoring frequency shown across their league matches, Roda will need to contain an attack averaging more than two goals per game this season. Roda’s task is to build on the Jong FC Utrecht win and make the most of the chances they create, as they did in their last two listed meetings with Almere. On balance, Almere’s higher standing and stronger scoring figures provide the clearest case for a result, even with Roda’s head-to-head record demanding caution.
Almere City vs Roda JC Kerkrade prediction from BetMines: Almere City win (1) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Almere City
Roda JC Kerkrade
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
3
7
7
3
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0