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Prediction published on Apr 1, 2026 6:08 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Apr 1, 2026 6:08 PM
The upcoming clash in the Eerste Divisie sees Almere City FC host TOP Oss in a match that could have significant implications for both ends of the table. After a short break for international fixtures, the domestic competition resumes with renewed intensity, and both sides will be eager to make a statement. Almere City are pushing to secure their place in the promotion playoffs, while TOP Oss are battling to escape the bottom of the standings. The encounter promises to be an intriguing mix of ambition and desperation, with both teams having shown contrasting forms in recent weeks.
Almere City enter this fixture sitting comfortably in fourth place in the Eerste Divisie, a position that reflects their consistent performances throughout the season. Their overall record of 16 wins, 4 draws, and 13 defeats highlights a team that has found a good balance between attack and defense. They average 2.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, showing their ability to find the net regularly while still leaving some gaps at the back.
In their last five matches, Almere City have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match and conceding 1.2. Their most recent outing was a convincing 0-2 victory against Jong Ajax on March 20, 2026, which extended their positive momentum. The team’s attacking consistency is further underlined by the fact that they have scored at least one goal in 23 of their last 24 matches and in 20 of their last 21 league games.
Almere City’s matches tend to be lively affairs, especially after the break. There have been over 0.5 goals in the second half in 38 of their last 39 matches, and the same trend continues in 32 of their last 33 league fixtures. Even at home, the pattern persists, with over 0.5 second-half goals in 18 of their last 20 home games. These statistics suggest that Almere City often grow stronger as the match progresses, making them a dangerous side in the latter stages of games.
TOP Oss find themselves in a much more precarious position, currently sitting 20th in the Eerste Divisie. Their season record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats reflects a campaign marked by inconsistency and defensive frailty. They have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, numbers that underline their struggles to maintain balance between attack and defense.
In their last five outings, TOP Oss have managed one win, two draws, and two defeats, scoring 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.8. Their most recent result was a morale-boosting 2-1 victory over FC Eindhoven on March 20, 2026, which ended a poor run of results. However, their away form remains a major concern: they have failed to win any of their last five away matches, losing four of them.
TOP Oss’s matches are rarely short of action. There have been over 1.5 goals in each of their last 15 matches, and the same pattern holds for their last 14 league games. They also tend to concede late, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in their last 11 Eerste Divisie fixtures. Additionally, they have lost at half time in each of their last three league matches, suggesting a tendency to start slowly. From a set-piece perspective, their games are corner-heavy, with over 8.5 corners in 19 of their last 20 matches and over 10.5 corners in 18 of those.
Historically, Almere City have dominated this fixture. In their last six meetings with TOP Oss, they have won five times and lost only once, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-2 away win for Almere City on November 29, 2025. This record gives the home side a clear psychological advantage heading into the upcoming clash.
From a tactical standpoint, Almere City’s attacking rhythm and ability to sustain pressure in the second half could prove decisive. Their tendency to score in nearly every match, combined with TOP Oss’s defensive vulnerabilities, points toward a game where the hosts are likely to control possession and create multiple scoring opportunities. TOP Oss, on the other hand, will need to rely on quick transitions and set pieces to trouble their opponents, but their recent defensive lapses make that an uphill battle.
Given the statistical trends, this fixture could produce goals at both ends, but Almere City’s superior form and home advantage make them strong favorites. If they maintain their usual attacking tempo, they should be able to secure another important win in their push for promotion playoff qualification.
According to the latest data, Almere City have a 55% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 23% and a TOP Oss win at 22%. The Over 2.5 goals market is favored with a 58% probability, and Both Teams To Score – Yes is estimated at 56%. Based on these figures and the teams’ recent form, the BetMines prediction leans towards an Almere City win (1) with a 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Almere City
TOP Oss
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
1
9
2
8
3.5
4
6
5
5
4.5
7
3
8
2