The upcoming clash between Almería and AD Ceuta opens Sunday’s action in LaLiga Hypermotion, marking the 25th round of the competition. Both teams are in the upper half of the table and separated by just one point, which adds extra tension to this Andalusian encounter. The hosts are looking to bounce back after a disappointing run, while the visitors arrive with renewed confidence following their latest victory. With promotion ambitions on the line, this fixture promises to be a tightly contested battle.

Almería’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Almería come into this match after a 1-0 defeat away to SD Eibar on January 25, a result that extended their winless streak to three league games. Over their last five matches, they have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Despite this dip in form, the Andalusian side remain sixth in the LaLiga 2 standings with 36 points, just three shy of the automatic promotion zone.

At home, Almería have been a tough side to beat. They have avoided defeat at half time in 19 of their last 20 home matches and have scored at least once in 19 of those games. Their attacking consistency is also reflected in the fact that they have found the net in 25 of their last 27 matches overall. The Power Horse Stadium has often provided the spark they need, and the fans will expect a strong response after recent setbacks.

• Season record: 10 wins, 7 draws, 6 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.7 per match; conceded: 1.4 per match.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 19 of their last 20 home games.


• Unbeaten at half time in 31 of their last 34 matches overall.

These numbers highlight a team that tends to start games solidly and often grows stronger as the match progresses. If they can rediscover their finishing touch, Almería could reassert themselves as serious promotion contenders.

AD Ceuta’s Recent Form and Key Stats

AD Ceuta travel to Almería after a morale-boosting 3-1 home win over Cultural Leonesa on January 26. That victory ended a brief two-game losing streak against Valladolid and Málaga. Over their last five matches, Ceuta have claimed three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their solid run has lifted them to tenth place in the table with 35 points, just one behind their upcoming opponents and the playoff zone.

While Ceuta’s home form has been reliable, their away performances have been more inconsistent. They have lost at half time in 8 of their last 13 away matches, and their attacking output tends to drop on the road. In fact, under 0.5 goals have been scored in 4 of their last 20 away games, showing that their matches away from home often start cautiously. However, their recent momentum and attacking confidence could make them a dangerous opponent if they manage to settle early.

• Season record: 9 wins, 6 draws, 8 defeats.


• Average goals scored: 1.1 per match; conceded: 1.3 per match.


• Under 0.5 goals in 2 of their last 10 away matches in LaLiga 2.


• Last head-to-head: 1-1 draw on November 26, 2025.

Ceuta’s resilience and ability to recover from setbacks have been key to their campaign so far. They will aim to build on their recent win and close the gap to the playoff positions, but facing Almería away remains a significant challenge.

Almería vs AD Ceuta Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two sides with similar ambitions but contrasting recent trends. Almería have struggled to maintain consistency in recent weeks, yet their home record and attacking reliability make them slight favorites. Ceuta, on the other hand, arrive in good spirits after their latest win but must overcome their away-day struggles to take something from this match.

The previous meeting between these teams ended in a 1-1 draw, suggesting that there is little to separate them. Both sides have shown the ability to score, but defensive lapses have also been common. Given the statistics, a balanced and competitive encounter is expected, with both teams likely to find the net at some stage.

According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at: Almería 59%, Draw 24%, Ceuta 17%. The BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probabilities are nearly even, with 49% for “Yes” and 51% for “No”, while the Over/Under 2.5 goals market is also finely balanced (Over 49%, Under 51%).

Taking all factors into account, the BetMines prediction for this match points towards a Draw (X) with a probability of 24%. Both teams are evenly matched in form and motivation, and a share of the points would reflect their current trajectories in the league.