Tools
Prediction published on Aug 15, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Aug 15, 2026 8:03 PM
Almería and Eldense meet on Monday in a La Liga 2 fixture that brings together clubs with contrasting ambitions. The hosts begin another campaign with promotion as their central objective after going close to a return to the top flight in recent seasons. Last season, that attempt ended when Málaga claimed the decisive play-off ticket. Eldense approach the challenge from a different perspective, having returned to the division after spending only one season in Primera RFEF. Their priority is to retain their place in La Liga 2, while Almería are expected to pursue a position among the promotion contenders. The available ranking data places Almería sixth and Eldense 12th, but their recent results point to a wider difference in momentum. Almería have won three of their last five matches, whereas Eldense have suffered four defeats during the same sequence.
Almería prepared for this contest with an emphatic 4-0 victory over Córdoba on August 7, 2026. That result reflected the hosts’ stronger recent numbers: across their last five matches, they have registered three wins and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding only 0.6 per game. Their defensive average is particularly encouraging ahead of a home fixture against an opponent that has been losing regularly.
The home record also provides Almería with several important arguments. They have not been behind at half-time in any of their last 20 home matches in La Liga 2, showing a consistent ability to remain competitive through the opening period. Their last 15 home league games have produced no draws, so those fixtures have repeatedly ended with a clear winner rather than a shared result. Almería have also scored at least once in each of their last 15 home matches in the competition.
Second-half action has been another recurring feature of their games. At least one goal after the interval has been recorded in Almería’s last 15 home league fixtures. The same outcome has occurred in 28 of their last 31 matches across all settings and in 27 of their last 30 La Liga 2 games. Meanwhile, only two of their last 10 league matches finished without a goal, reinforcing the expectation that the scoreboard is likely to move at some point. With promotion identified as their main target, collecting home points will be especially important. The source article also notes that Almería were among the division’s strongest home sides last season, alongside Racing.
Eldense face their return to La Liga 2 with survival presented as the principal objective. They recovered the place they had lost one year earlier by spending a single campaign in Primera RFEF, but this fixture immediately tests them against a side with significantly different ambitions. The source material also highlights a major gap between the clubs in terms of budget and expectations, placing additional pressure on the visitors to overcome the apparent imbalance.
Their latest listed result was a 1-0 defeat against Albacete on August 7, 2026. Over the last five matches, Eldense have collected one victory and lost four times, with no draws. They have averaged 1.0 goal scored per game while conceding 2.0, figures that underline the defensive difficulties accompanying their recent run. Although Eldense also recorded a 3-0 pre-season win over Cartagena, their broader five-match sequence remains considerably less convincing than Almería’s.
Despite those defeats, Eldense have frequently contributed on the scoresheet. They have scored at least once in 25 of their last 27 matches, indicating that their attack has often found a route to goal even when the final outcome has been disappointing. Their games have also produced at least one second-half goal in each of the last 16 matches. That pattern could keep the contest open after the break, particularly because Almería’s own statistics show a similarly strong tendency for second-half scoring.
The comparison of recent form gives Almería the more persuasive profile. The hosts have won three of five matches, conceded an average of only 0.6 goals and arrive after scoring four without reply against Córdoba. Eldense, by contrast, have lost four of five and are allowing an average of two goals per game. Those numbers create a demanding scenario for the visitors, especially against an Almería side that has scored in 15 consecutive home league matches.
There are still reasons to expect Eldense to compete rather than simply defend throughout the game. Their scoring run of 25 goalscoring appearances in 27 matches suggests they are regularly capable of creating a breakthrough. The second half could be particularly significant: both clubs enter with long sequences of matches featuring a goal after the interval. Almería’s record of avoiding a half-time deficit in 20 straight home league fixtures also suggests that Eldense may need patience if they are to disrupt the hosts.
The head-to-head data adds another layer to the Almería vs Eldense preview. The most recent meeting ended 2-1 on December 3, 2025. Across the supplied head-to-head summary, Almería have one win, no draws and two defeats, with averages of 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The source article additionally recalls a previous 5-0 home victory for Almería in this matchup. While the historical summary has not been one-sided overall, the hosts’ current defensive figures and Eldense’s four defeats in five place greater emphasis on Almería’s opportunity to impose themselves.
For Eldense, controlling the opening phase would be a valuable first step, but Almería’s long unbeaten-at-half-time home sequence shows how difficult that task has been for league visitors. If the game remains balanced early, the extensive second-half scoring trends on both sides indicate that the decisive moments may arrive after the interval. Overall, this fixture contrasts Almería’s promotion ambitions and strong home indicators with an Eldense side seeking stability after returning to La Liga 2.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Almería
Eldense
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
6
4
1
9
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
9
1
10
0