The Andalusian derby between Almería and Granada promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of this twentieth round in LaLiga Hypermotion. Both sides arrive with contrasting objectives and recent form, yet the intensity of a regional clash always adds an unpredictable edge. Almería, currently positioned in the upper part of the table, aim to bounce back after a couple of disappointing results, while Granada travel in search of much-needed points to escape the relegation zone. The Power Horse Stadium will host a match that could significantly shape the ambitions of both teams as the season approaches its midpoint.

Almería’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Almería come into this encounter after a 2-1 defeat against Málaga on December 21, extending their winless run to two consecutive losses. Over their last five matches, they have managed just one victory, alongside one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Despite this inconsistent spell, the team remains competitive in the league, sitting fourth in the standings with 32 points, thanks to an overall record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses.

Offensively, Almería have shown remarkable consistency. They have scored at least once in 22 of their last 23 matches, including 20 of their last 21 league fixtures. Their home performances are particularly strong, with goals in 19 of their last 20 home games in LaLiga 2. Moreover, they tend to stay solid in the first half, having avoided defeat before halftime in 27 of their last 30 matches. This resilience, combined with their attacking regularity, makes them a tough opponent, especially in front of their supporters.

• Almería are 4th in LaLiga 2 standings.


• Season average: 1.8 goals scored, 1.3 conceded per match.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 19 of their last 20 home games.


• Unbeaten at halftime in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures.

Although recent results have been mixed, the underlying numbers suggest that Almería remain a dangerous side, particularly when playing at home. Their ability to find the net consistently could be the key factor in this derby.

Granada’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Granada approach this match after a 1-1 draw against Albacete on December 21, a result that extended their streak to three games without a win. Over their last five outings, they have recorded two victories, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match. Despite some defensive improvement, their offensive struggles have limited their progress in the standings.

Currently sitting 18th in LaLiga 2 with just 21 points, Granada’s campaign has been far from expectations. Their season record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses reflects a team that has found it difficult to convert tight matches into victories. Low-scoring encounters have been a recurring theme, with under 0.5 goals recorded in three of their last eleven league games. This lack of attacking efficiency has been one of their main challenges, especially away from home, where they have often struggled to impose their rhythm.

• Granada are 18th in LaLiga 2 standings.


• Season average: 1.1 goals scored, 1.3 conceded per match.


• Under 0.5 goals in 3 of their last 12 matches.


• Last five matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat.

Granada’s defensive discipline could help them stay competitive in this derby, but their lack of cutting edge in attack remains a concern. To get a positive result, they will need to be more clinical in front of goal and avoid early mistakes that could allow Almería to dominate proceedings.

Almería vs Granada Analysis and Prediction

The head-to-head record between these two Andalusian sides is fairly balanced, with one win, three draws, and one defeat for Almería in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in April 2025, showing that goals can come when these teams face each other. However, given Granada’s current scoring issues and Almería’s solid home form, this match could be decided by small details.

Almería’s attacking consistency and strong home record make them slight favorites. Their ability to score in nearly every match, combined with Granada’s defensive tendencies, suggests that the home side could control the tempo and create more chances. Granada, on the other hand, will likely focus on staying compact and looking for opportunities on the counterattack.

Considering the available data and recent performances, BetMines leans towards a home win (1) for Almería, with a probability of 54%. The draw (X) stands at 25%, while an away win (2) for Granada is estimated at 21%. Both teams have a 51% chance of scoring, indicating that we could see goals at both ends, but the hosts remain the more likely winners.

Almería vs Granada prediction by BetMines: Home Win (1) with 54% probability.