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Almería
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Las Palmas
Prediction published on May 14, 2026 5:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on May 14, 2026 5:01 PM
The clash between Almería and Las Palmas promises to be one of the most exciting fixtures of matchday forty in LaLiga Hypermotion. Both sides are fighting for promotion-related objectives, with the Andalusians aiming for direct ascent and the Canarians looking to consolidate their playoff position. The encounter comes at a crucial stage of the season, where every point can make a decisive difference in the final standings.
Almería approach this match after a goalless draw against Burgos on May 9, a result that extended their unbeaten streak to four matches. That run includes three consecutive victories, one of which came against Málaga, a direct rival in the upper part of the table. The Andalusian side’s season has been a story of steady improvement, moving from mid-table mediocrity to serious contention for automatic promotion. Currently sitting third in La Liga 2, they are level on points with Deportivo, separated only by goal difference.
At home, Almería have been particularly dominant. They have won their last eight home matches in the league and have not lost at half time in their last sixteen home outings. Their attacking consistency is also remarkable, with over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last eleven home games. The team’s offensive rhythm has been complemented by a solid mentality, as they have avoided trailing at half time in 31 of their last 34 matches overall. These numbers underline their ability to control matches from the start and maintain intensity until the final whistle.
With such consistency, Almería’s supporters have every reason to believe in another strong performance at home. The team’s attacking flow and resilience in defense have turned their stadium into one of the toughest venues in the division.
Las Palmas travel to Andalusia after a heavy 5-1 defeat against FC Andorra on May 10, a setback that ended their three-match winning streak. Before that, the Canarian side had collected victories against Leganés and Real Valladolid, results that kept them firmly in the playoff zone. Despite the recent loss, Las Palmas remain fifth in the standings with 66 points, still within reach of the top positions.
Throughout the season, Las Palmas have shown a balanced profile, combining disciplined defending with efficient attacking transitions. Their campaign record stands at 18 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Away from home, their matches tend to be open affairs, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last eleven away fixtures. However, their defensive line has occasionally struggled against high-intensity opponents, something that could be tested again by Almería’s attacking momentum.
Las Palmas’ ability to recover quickly from setbacks will be crucial in this encounter. Their attacking potential remains a threat, but they will need to tighten their defensive structure to avoid another high-scoring defeat.
The meeting between these two promotion contenders is expected to be intense and tactically balanced. Almería’s home form and attacking efficiency make them slight favorites, while Las Palmas’ quick transitions and technical play could create problems on the counterattack. The Andalusians’ recent consistency at home, combined with their ability to score multiple goals, contrasts with the Canarians’ occasional defensive lapses away from home.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these sides has been tight, with low-scoring encounters being common. Their last meeting ended 0-1 in favor of Las Palmas, but current form suggests a more open contest this time. Given both teams’ recent scoring trends, the match could feature several goal opportunities, especially in the second half, where Almería have consistently found the net in recent weeks.
In terms of league implications, a win for Almería could see them climb back into the automatic promotion zone, depending on Deportivo’s result. For Las Palmas, maintaining their playoff position is the main objective, and even a draw would be valuable at this stage of the season.
Almería vs Las Palmas prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a home win (1) with a probability of 57%. The draw (X) follows at 23%, while an away win (2) stands at 20%. Considering both teams’ attacking patterns, Over 2.5 goals also appears probable with a 55% likelihood.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Almería
Las Palmas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
5
5
9
1
4.5
6
4
9
1