The upcoming clash between Almería and Leganés in LaLiga Hypermotion promises to be a crucial one for both sides. The home team is fighting to stay in the race for direct promotion, while the visitors are looking to secure valuable points to move further away from the relegation zone. With only a few rounds left in the season, every result could have a significant impact on their respective objectives.

Almería’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Almería approach this fixture after a 2-0 defeat against Castellón, a result that interrupted their positive momentum. Despite that setback, their overall form remains strong, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and an average of 2.2 goals scored per game. Their attacking efficiency has been one of the main reasons they currently sit 3rd in La Liga 2, just one point away from the automatic promotion spots.

At home, Almería have shown remarkable consistency. They haven’t lost at half time in their last 13 home matches and have managed to lead at the break in their last 3 home games. This ability to start strong often puts them in control early on. Moreover, over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 10 league matches, highlighting their attacking intent and the open nature of their games.

Defensively, the Andalusian side have conceded an average of 1.3 goals per match this season, which suggests that while they are potent in attack, they can still be vulnerable at the back. Nevertheless, their home record and offensive rhythm make them one of the most dangerous teams in the competition.

• Season record: 17 wins, 8 draws, 8 losses.


• Average goals scored: 1.9 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 1.3 per match.


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 22 of their last 24 matches.

Leganés’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Leganés travel to Almería after a 1-1 draw against Real Zaragoza, a result that extended their unbeaten run to three matches. However, with only one win in their last five games, the team still needs to find more consistency to move away from the lower part of the table. They currently occupy 16th place in La Liga 2 with 39 points, just five above the relegation line.

In terms of performance, Leganés have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in their last five matches. Their season-long numbers show a more balanced profile, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away from home, they have struggled to find the net regularly, as under 0.5 goals have been scored in 5 of their last 16 away matches. This suggests that their attacking output often drops when playing outside their stadium.

Despite these limitations, Leganés have shown resilience in recent weeks, managing to avoid defeat in key fixtures. Their main challenge will be to contain Almería’s attacking power and to take advantage of any defensive lapses from the hosts.

• Season record: 9 wins, 12 draws, 12 losses.


• Average goals scored: 1.1 per match.


• Average goals conceded: 1.1 per match.


• Under 0.5 goals in 2 of their last 10 matches.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The recent meetings between Almería and Leganés have been relatively balanced. In their last five encounters, Almería have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game and conceding 1.2. However, the most recent clash ended with a 0-3 victory for Leganés in November 2025, a result that the home side will surely want to avenge.

From a tactical perspective, Almería’s attacking approach and strong home form could dictate the rhythm of the match. They tend to dominate possession and create chances early, while Leganés might adopt a more cautious strategy, focusing on defensive solidity and counterattacks. Given the difference in league positions and momentum, the hosts appear to have the upper hand, but the visitors’ recent resilience could make this a tighter contest than expected.

Both teams have shown contrasting trends in goal production: Almería’s matches often feature multiple goals, while Leganés’ away games tend to be low-scoring. This contrast could define the flow of the encounter, with the home side pushing forward and the visitors trying to keep the scoreline under control.

Almería vs Leganés Prediction

Considering the statistical data and current form, Almería enter this match as clear favorites. Their attacking consistency, strong home record, and motivation to reach the top two positions make them likely to dominate proceedings. Leganés, on the other hand, will aim to frustrate their opponents and capitalize on any counterattacking opportunities, but their away struggles could prove costly.

According to the latest probabilities, the home side have a 59% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 23% and an away victory at 17%. The balance between attack and defense suggests a competitive match, but one where Almería’s offensive edge could make the difference.

BetMines prediction: Almería win (1) with a probability of 59%.