Almería host Leganés on October 11 in the ninth round of Spain’s La Liga 2, with kick-off scheduled for 14:15 local time at the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos. The sides arrive in contrasting form. Almería have won five league matches in a row and sit third, while 10th-placed Leganés are looking to recover from a 4-0 defeat to Cádiz. Their recent results make this an opportunity for the hosts to extend their winning run, but Leganés will be determined to halt a difficult spell of their own.

Almería’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Almería made it five consecutive wins with a 2-1 victory over Burgos on October 3. Across those five matches, they have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. That combination of scoring and defensive consistency has helped them reach third place with 18 points after eight league fixtures.

Their season record stands at six wins, no draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The recent five-game sequence has therefore brought an improvement in their scoring rate while maintaining the same average for goals allowed. It also gives Almería a clear form advantage heading into this home match.

Almería’s longer-term home figures add another dimension to the preview. They have not drawn any of their last 19 home matches in La Liga 2 and have scored at least once in every game in that sequence. They have also avoided trailing at half-time in 19 of their last 20 home league fixtures. Those records do not settle what will happen against Leganés, but they underline how regularly Almería have made an impact at this venue.

Leganés’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Leganés travel to face Almería after losing 4-0 to Cádiz on October 3. It was a heavy setback for a side whose recent league results have been uneven: their last five matches have produced one win, one draw and three defeats. During that run, they have averaged only 0.6 goals scored while conceding 2.0 per game.

Across the season as a whole, Leganés have recorded three wins, two draws and three losses. Their league averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded provide a broader picture than the last five games, but both sets of figures point to a challenge against an Almería side currently scoring more freely. Leganés’ task is not simply to respond to the Cádiz result; they must also improve on a stretch in which victories have been scarce.

There have been goalless matches in their away record, with three of Leganés’ last 12 away league games finishing without a goal for either side. That statistic concerns total match goals, not just Leganés’ scoring. It offers a reminder that an away fixture involving them does not always open up, even though their latest defeat featured four goals conceded.

Almería vs Leganés Match Analysis

The clearest contrast in this Almería vs Leganés preview is recent momentum. Almería’s five straight wins have come with an average of two goals per match, whereas Leganés have won only once in five and have conceded an average of two during that period. For the home side, the objective is to carry their scoring form into another league fixture. For the visitors, limiting Almería’s chances while finding a stronger attacking response would mark a change from their recent numbers.

The head-to-head summary also favors Almería: across the five meetings covered by the supplied figures, they have recorded three wins and two draws, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The most recent meeting ended 2-1 on April 5, 2026. Past meetings cannot decide this match, but Almería’s unbeaten record in that five-game sample reinforces the advantage suggested by current form.

There are competing signals on the possible goal total. Almería have scored in 19 consecutive home league games, while Leganés’ last five matches have seen them concede at a rate of two per game. On the other hand, three of Leganés’ last 12 away league fixtures finished goalless. Rather than relying on a goals trend alone, the stronger case in the available figures is that the hosts enter this fixture in better shape: they are higher in the table, have won their last five and hold the better recent head-to-head record.

Almería vs Leganés prediction from BetMines: Almería win (1) with 66% probability.