The Andalusian derby between Almería and Málaga promises to be one of the most exciting fixtures of the thirty-sixth round in LaLiga Hypermotion. Both sides are fighting for promotion, separated by just one point in the standings, and every detail could make the difference in this crucial encounter.

Almería’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Almería approach this match after a heavy 5-1 defeat against Racing Santander on April 12, a result that ended their recent positive momentum. Despite that setback, the team remains in the top positions of the table, currently third with 61 points, tied with Deportivo. Their overall record in LaLiga 2 stands at 18 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

At home, Almería have been particularly strong. They have not lost at half time in their last 14 home matches and have seen Over 2.5 goals in each of their last nine home fixtures. The team’s attacking approach often leads to open games, as shown by the fact that Over 1.5 goals have been scored in their last 12 league matches, and at least one goal has been conceded in 19 of their last 20 outings. In their last five matches, Almería have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding 2.0.

• Season record: W 18 · D 8 · L 9


• Average goals scored: 1.9


• Average goals conceded: 1.4


• Over 2.5 goals in last 9 home matches


• Unbeaten at half time in last 14 home games

These numbers confirm that Almería remain a dangerous side, especially in front of their fans, where they often start strongly and maintain control through the first half. Their challenge will be to tighten up defensively against a Málaga side that has shown great consistency in recent weeks.

Málaga’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Málaga travel to Almería full of confidence after defeating Las Palmas 2-0 on April 11. That victory extended their unbeaten run to nine league matches, with a balance of five wins and four draws. The team currently sits fourth in the table with 60 points, just one behind their Andalusian rivals, and continues to push for direct promotion.

In LaLiga 2 this season, Málaga have achieved 17 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their attacking consistency has been remarkable, having scored in 21 of their last 22 matches, and in 20 of their last 21 league games. Defensively, they have also improved, conceding less than a goal per game on average in their last five outings.

• Season record: W 17 · D 9 · L 9


• Average goals scored: 1.7


• Average goals conceded: 1.2


• Unbeaten in last 9 league matches


• Scored in 21 of last 22 matches

Málaga’s recent form shows a team that knows how to manage tight games and take advantage of key moments. Their ability to remain unbeaten for such a long stretch highlights their balance between attack and defense. Facing Almería away will be a test of their resilience, but their current momentum suggests they can compete on equal terms.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The last meeting between these two sides ended 2-1 in favor of Almería on December 21, 2025. Over their last five encounters, Almería have won twice, drawn twice, and lost once, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. These numbers suggest a generally balanced rivalry, often decided by small details.

Given both teams’ attacking tendencies, this derby could once again produce goals. Almería’s home matches have been particularly high-scoring, while Málaga’s consistency in finding the net makes them a constant threat. The hosts will look to dominate possession and create chances early, while the visitors may rely on their compact structure and quick transitions to exploit spaces.

Both teams are in strong form, and the stakes are high with promotion on the line. Almería will aim to bounce back from their recent defeat and reclaim second place, while Málaga will try to extend their unbeaten run and overtake their regional rivals in the standings.

BetMines Prediction

According to the available probabilities, the most likely outcome for this match is a home win (1) for Almería with a 56% probability. The draw (X) stands at 24%, while an away win (2) for Málaga is estimated at 20%. Given both teams’ attacking profiles, the Over 2.5 goals market also appears promising, supported by a 56% probability.

Almería vs Málaga prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 56% probability.