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Almería vs Mirandés Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | La Liga 2 04-05-2026

Almería

4 - 2

FT

Mirandés

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Gorka Etayo Herrera
few clouds 19.27 °C

Prediction published on May 3, 2026 9:02 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on May 3, 2026 9:02 AM

The upcoming clash between Almería and Mirandés will bring the curtain down on matchday thirty-eight of LaLiga Hypermotion. Both sides arrive at this encounter in good spirits after recent victories, but with very different objectives. The Andalusian team is fighting for promotion, while the visitors are battling to stay clear of the relegation zone. The duel promises intensity, goals, and plenty of tactical intrigue as each side seeks to extend its positive streak.


Almería’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Almería come into this fixture after a convincing 4-2 away win against Granada, their second consecutive league victory. This result has boosted their confidence and consolidated their position among the top teams in the division. With 67 points, they currently sit third in the table, just one point away from the automatic promotion spots. The Andalusian side’s attacking form has been particularly impressive, averaging 2.0 goals per match this season while conceding 1.5.


At home, Almería have been a consistent force. They have not lost at half time in their last 15 home matches in LaLiga 2, showing remarkable stability in the early stages of games. Their matches tend to be open and entertaining, with Over 2.5 goals recorded in each of their last 10 home fixtures. The team’s attacking rhythm is complemented by a tendency to concede, as they have allowed at least one goal in 21 of their last 22 matches. This combination of offensive power and defensive vulnerability often leads to high-scoring encounters that keep fans on edge until the final whistle.



  • Season record: 20 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses.

  • Average goals scored: 2.0 per match.

  • Average goals conceded: 1.5 per match.

  • Over 1.5 goals in the last 14 matches.

  • Unbeaten at half time in 29 of their last 32 games.


These numbers underline Almería’s attacking consistency and their ability to dominate at home. Their recent form suggests they are peaking at the right time, and another win could bring them closer to the long-awaited return to the top flight.


Mirandés’ Recent Form and Key Stats


Mirandés travel to face Almería after a crucial 2-1 home victory over Cultural Leonesa, a result that has given them renewed hope in their fight for survival. The team has shown resilience in recent weeks, losing only once in their last five league games (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat). Their improved performances have lifted them to 20th place, just three points away from safety, and they will be eager to continue their upward trajectory.


Despite their low position in the table, Mirandés have displayed fighting spirit and determination. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per match this season while conceding 1.6, figures that highlight both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Away from home, they have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 away matches. However, their ability to find the net in key moments has kept them competitive in most encounters.



  • Season record: 9 wins, 9 draws, 19 losses.

  • Average goals scored: 1.1 per match.

  • Average goals conceded: 1.6 per match.

  • Over 0.5 goals at half time in their last 10 matches.

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of their last 20 games.


Mirandés’ recent improvement has been driven by a more balanced approach, combining disciplined defending with quick transitions. Their challenge now is to maintain that level against one of the most in-form teams in the league. A positive result in Almería would be a huge boost to their survival hopes.


Almería vs Mirandés Tactical Overview and Prediction


The head-to-head record between these two sides favors Almería, who remain unbeaten in their last five meetings with Mirandés (3 wins, 2 draws). The most recent encounter ended in a 2-2 draw earlier this season, a result that reflected the attacking tendencies of both teams. Historically, these matches have produced an average of 1.8 goals scored by Almería and 0.8 conceded, suggesting that the Andalusians often find ways to impose their style.


Given the current form and statistical trends, this fixture is likely to feature goals at both ends. Almería’s attacking momentum, combined with Mirandés’ need to take risks, could lead to another open contest. The home side’s consistency at half time and their strong scoring record make them favorites, but Mirandés’ recent resilience means they cannot be underestimated.


Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede regularly, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in 55% of their recent matches and Both Teams To Score – Yes in 52%. These indicators point toward an entertaining clash where defensive solidity might take a back seat to attacking ambition.


Almería vs Mirandés prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with a probability of 63%.

Almería vs Mirandés - Predictions

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Almería vs Mirandés: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Almería

Mirandés

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

60%

6

40%

4

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Almería and Mirandés in La Liga 2

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

3

Almería

42

22

8

12

81:63

74

1.76

W
D
L
L
W
19

Mirandés

42

10

10

22

47:69

40

0.95

L
L
D
W
L
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Almería vs Mirandés: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Almería vs Mirandés be played?
The La Liga 2 match between Almería and Mirandés will be played on May 4, 2026 at 18:30.
Where will Almería vs Mirandés be played?
The match between Almería and Mirandés will be played at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos, Almeria - Spain
Who will referee Almería vs Mirandés?
The referee for the match will be Gorka Etayo Herrera.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Almería vs Mirandés in the La Liga 2?
The odds are: Almería to win 1.42, draw 5.00, Mirandés to win 6.00.
What are the betting odds for Almería vs Mirandés for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the La Liga 2?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.47 and Under 2.5 at 2.60.
Will both Almería and Mirandés score in the La Liga 2?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.61, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.20.
What is the most likely correct score for Almería vs Mirandés in the La Liga 2?
The most likely correct score is 2-1, with odds of 8.5.
What are the head-to-head results between Almería and Mirandés?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Almería and Mirandés, Almería won 3 times, Mirandés won 0, and 2 ended in a draw.

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