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Alverca vs Famalicão Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Liga Portugal 04-01-2026

Alverca

1 - 0

FT

Famalicão

Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
D. Rosa
moderate rain 13.19 °C

Prediction published on Jan 2, 2026 9:04 PM by Dario in Portugal - Liga Portugal | Modified on Jan 2, 2026 9:04 PM

The upcoming clash between Alverca and Famalicão promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 17th round in Liga Portugal Betclic. Scheduled for Sunday evening, this encounter will take place at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, where both sides arrive eager to bounce back from recent setbacks. The hosts are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, while the visitors aim to keep their European qualification hopes alive. With both teams struggling for consistency, this match could easily turn into a high-intensity battle with plenty of goalmouth action.


Alverca’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Alverca enter this fixture sitting 12th in the Liga Portugal standings, a position that reflects their mixed campaign so far. The Ribatejo side have collected 17 points from 16 matches, recording 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats. Their main objective remains survival, and every point is crucial in maintaining a safe distance from the relegation playoff zone. However, recent performances have been far from ideal, with three consecutive defeats in the league, including a heavy 4-1 loss to Estoril on December 27.


In their last five outings, Alverca have managed 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their defensive fragility has been a recurring issue, although they often show resilience at home. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in each of their last 12 matches, highlighting their tendency to open up after the break. On the attacking front, the team relies heavily on Marezi, their top scorer with six goals, while Lincoln adds creativity and flair in the final third.


In terms of absences, Alverca continue to deal with several injury concerns. Diarra, Mendes, and André Paulo are ruled out, while Leo Chu and Chiquinho remain doubtful. Despite these setbacks, coach Custódio Castro has managed to build a competitive unit, with players like Alex Amorim, Naves, Meupiyou, and Touaizi forming the backbone of the team. The home side will look to rediscover their early-season form and capitalize on their home advantage to secure valuable points.


Famalicão’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Famalicão travel to Alverca in search of redemption after a disappointing run of results. The team currently occupies 6th place in the league table with 23 points, maintaining a realistic chance of qualifying for European competition. However, their recent form has dipped, with four defeats in their last five matches across all competitions. Their latest setback came in a 2-3 home loss to Estrela Amadora on December 27, a result that exposed defensive vulnerabilities despite dominating large spells of the game.


Statistically, Famalicão have recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses this season, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. They have been involved in lively first halves, with over 0.5 goals before the break in each of their last 10 games. Offensively, the team’s strength lies in its collective approach, with Gustavo Sá and Zabiri leading the scoring charts with four goals each. In midfield, Mathias de Amorim provides balance and creativity, while full-backs Rodrigo Pinheiro and Rafa Soares contribute both defensively and offensively.


Injuries have also affected the visitors, with Óscar Aranda, Rochinha, Pastor, and Gil Dias all unavailable. Despite these absences, Famalicão remain a well-organized side capable of competing with any opponent. Their challenge will be to tighten up defensively and convert their attacking dominance into goals, something that has eluded them in recent weeks.


Alverca vs Famalicão Analysis and Prediction


This fixture brings together two teams eager to end their winless streaks. Alverca will rely on their home support to regain confidence, while Famalicão aim to stay within touching distance of the European spots. Historically, the visitors have had the upper hand, winning their only previous meeting by 2-1 back in 2021. Both sides have shown defensive weaknesses lately, which could lead to an open and entertaining contest.


Given the recent trends, goals are expected at both ends. Alverca’s matches often come alive in the second half, while Famalicão’s attacking intent usually produces early chances. The combination of these factors suggests a dynamic encounter where neither defense is likely to keep a clean sheet. With both teams averaging over one goal per game this season, the conditions are ideal for a high-scoring affair.



  • Alverca average 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match.

  • Famalicão average 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 12 straight Alverca games.

  • Over 0.5 goals at half time in 10 consecutive Famalicão matches.

  • Head-to-head record: Alverca 0 wins, Famalicão 1 win.


Both teams are under pressure to deliver, and their attacking setups suggest that this could be a lively contest with multiple scoring opportunities. Expect a balanced game where momentum could shift quickly between the two sides.


Alverca vs Famalicão prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.

Alverca vs Famalicão - Predictions

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Alverca vs Famalicão: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Alverca

Famalicão

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

50%

5

50%

5

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Alverca and Famalicão in Liga Portugal

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

5

Famalicão

34

15

11

8

42:29

56

1.65

D
W
D
D
W
11

Alverca

34

10

9

15

35:52

39

1.15

L
W
L
D
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Alverca vs Famalicão: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Alverca vs Famalicão be played?
The Liga Portugal match between Alverca and Famalicão will be played on January 4, 2026 at 20:30.
Where will Alverca vs Famalicão be played?
The match between Alverca and Famalicão will be played at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo - Portugal
Who will referee Alverca vs Famalicão?
The referee for the match will be D. Rosa.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Alverca vs Famalicão in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are: Alverca to win 3.50, draw 3.25, Famalicão to win 2.15.
What are the betting odds for Alverca vs Famalicão for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Liga Portugal?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.15 and Under 2.5 at 1.66.
Will both Alverca and Famalicão score in the Liga Portugal?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Alverca vs Famalicão in the Liga Portugal?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Alverca and Famalicão?
In the last 1 head-to-head matches between Alverca and Famalicão, Alverca won 0 times, Famalicão won 1, and 0 ended in a draw.

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