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Always Ready
4 - 0
FT
Lanús
Prediction published on May 4, 2026 1:04 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Libertadores | Modified on May 4, 2026 1:04 AM
The upcoming Copa Libertadores clash between Always Ready and Lanús promises to be a fascinating encounter shaped by contrasting conditions and recent form. The Bolivian side, rooted at the bottom of their group, is desperate to revive their campaign after a difficult start, while the Argentine visitors aim to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table. The altitude factor could once again play a decisive role, as Always Ready look to capitalize on their home advantage to secure their first international victory of the 2026 season.
Despite a challenging start to their Copa Libertadores journey, Always Ready have shown resilience in recent domestic performances. Their 3-1 win over Nacional Potosí on May 2, 2026, ended a brief slump and restored confidence ahead of this crucial fixture. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
At home, Always Ready are traditionally strong. They have won eight of their last nine home matches and have not lost at half time in their last 16 home appearances. The team’s attacking consistency is also notable — they have scored at least one goal in 20 of their last 21 home games. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 19 of their last 21 home fixtures, suggesting that their matches tend to open up after the break.
In the Copa Libertadores, however, the Bolivian side’s record remains poor so far this season, with three defeats in three matches and no goals scored. Yet, their strong home record and the unique altitude conditions — over 4,000 meters above sea level — could tilt the balance in their favor this time. Visiting teams often struggle to adapt to the thin air and the faster ball movement, giving Always Ready a natural edge.
Lanús arrive in Bolivia after a goalless draw against Deportivo Riestra on May 2, 2026. Their recent form has been steady rather than spectacular, with two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. Defensively, they have been solid, conceding just 0.2 goals per game on average, but their attack has struggled to find rhythm, averaging only 0.4 goals scored per match.
In the Copa Libertadores, Lanús have collected two wins and one loss, scoring 0.7 goals per game and conceding 0.3. Their matches have been characterized by low-scoring patterns: under 1.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last eight games, and under 3.5 goals in their last ten. They have also drawn at half time in their last ten fixtures, including seven consecutive away matches, reflecting a cautious approach in the early stages of games.
Lanús’ main challenge will be adapting to the altitude and maintaining their defensive discipline under physical strain. Historically, they have struggled away from home, losing their last three away matches across all competitions. However, their ability to keep games tight could still make them a difficult opponent to break down.
This match sets up an intriguing contrast between Always Ready’s attacking intent at home and Lanús’ defensive organization. The Bolivian side will likely rely on high pressing and quick transitions, especially in the second half when visiting teams tend to tire. Their home record suggests they often start strongly, having led at half time in ten of their last fifteen home games.
Lanús, on the other hand, are expected to adopt a compact structure, focusing on maintaining possession and slowing the tempo to mitigate the effects of altitude. Their recent trend of low-scoring matches indicates that they may prioritize containment over risk-taking. Given that at least one team failed to score in 38 of Lanús’ last 40 matches, another tight contest could be on the cards.
Historically, Lanús hold a slight edge, having won the previous head-to-head 1-0 on April 16, 2026. However, the conditions in Bolivia present a completely different challenge, and Always Ready’s home advantage could prove decisive this time.
With both teams showing contrasting strengths — Always Ready’s altitude advantage and Lanús’ defensive resilience — this encounter could hinge on which side adapts better to the environment. The hosts’ attacking consistency at home and their ability to score in nearly every match suggest they are well-positioned to finally claim their first points in the group stage.
According to the latest probabilities, Always Ready have a 56% chance of winning, while both the draw and a Lanús victory stand at 22% each. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 53%, with Both Teams To Score – No slightly favored at 51%.
Always Ready vs Lanús prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Always Ready
Lanús
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
4
6
7
3
2.5
5
5
9
1
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0