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América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Copa Sudamericana 16-04-2026

América de Cali

2 - 1

FT

Alianza Atlético

Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
Anderson Daronco
broken clouds 19.04 °C

Prediction published on Apr 14, 2026 4:04 AM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on Apr 14, 2026 4:04 AM

The second round of the Copa Sudamericana continues with an intriguing clash between América de Cali and Alianza Atlético. Both sides are still searching for their first victory in the group stage after opening draws, making this encounter crucial for their qualification hopes. The Colombian side, known as the “Diablos Rojos”, shared the spoils with Macará in their first match, while the Peruvian visitors, nicknamed “Los Churres”, also finished level against Tigre. With home advantage and a strong record in their own stadium, América de Cali enter this fixture as the favorites to claim all three points.


América de Cali’s Recent Form and Key Stats


América de Cali have shown consistency in continental competitions, maintaining a solid defensive structure and rarely losing at home. In fact, they have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 home matches, a statistic that highlights their strength when playing in front of their supporters. Their recent 1-1 draw against Macará on April 10, 2026, extended a run of mixed results — 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five outings across all competitions. Despite this, their average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game suggests a balanced but cautious approach.


In the Copa Sudamericana, América de Cali’s campaign has been steady, with a record of 1 win and 1 draw so far, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their games tend to be tight affairs, as shown by the fact that Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 17 matches overall, and also in their last 11 matches in this competition. This pattern reflects a disciplined defensive mindset combined with a pragmatic attack that focuses on efficiency rather than volume.


Another interesting trend is that Under 0.5 goals have been scored in 3 of their last 10 Copa Sudamericana matches, indicating that América de Cali often start cautiously in the early stages of games. Their home form, however, remains their biggest asset — a factor that could make the difference in this encounter.


Alianza Atlético’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Alianza Atlético approach this match after a 1-1 draw against Tigre on April 8, 2026, a result that extended their streak of competitive matches without a win. Their recent form shows 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat in the last five games, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. This suggests a more open style of play compared to their opponents, though their defensive stability remains a concern.


In the Copa Sudamericana, the Peruvian side have also registered 1 win and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Despite these encouraging numbers, their away performances have been less convincing. For instance, Under 8.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 9 away matches, reflecting a tendency to play conservatively on the road. Moreover, they have lost at half time in their last 3 matches, and in 30 of their last 32 games, at least one team failed to score before the break — a clear sign of slow starts and limited first-half action.


While Alianza Atlético have shown flashes of attacking potential, their inconsistency and struggles away from home could make this a difficult test. Facing a side as resilient as América de Cali, they will need to improve their defensive concentration and capitalize on any counterattacking opportunities that arise.


América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético Tactical Overview


This fixture promises a contrast of styles. América de Cali are expected to take control of possession, using their home advantage to dictate the tempo and press high up the pitch. Their defensive record and ability to manage tight games make them a tough opponent to break down. On the other hand, Alianza Atlético will likely adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on compactness and quick transitions to exploit spaces left behind by the hosts.


Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring match seems likely. Both teams have been involved in numerous games with Under 2.5 goals, and neither side has shown explosive attacking form in recent weeks. América de Cali’s home dominance, combined with Alianza Atlético’s inconsistent away record, suggests that the Colombian side have the upper hand, but they may need patience to find the breakthrough.



  • América de Cali unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 home matches.

  • Under 3.5 goals in the last 17 América de Cali matches.

  • Alianza Atlético have lost at half time in their last 3 matches.

  • At least one team failed to score at half time in 30 of the last 32 Alianza Atlético games.

  • Win probabilities — América de Cali: 54%, Draw: 25%, Alianza Atlético: 22%.


América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético Prediction


All indicators point toward a balanced but controlled contest, with América de Cali likely to make the most of their home advantage. Their strong defensive record and consistent home performances make them the logical favorites, while Alianza Atlético may struggle to maintain intensity over 90 minutes. Considering the statistical trends and current form, a narrow home victory appears the most plausible outcome.


América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 54% probability.

América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético - Predictions

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América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

América de Cali

Alianza Atlético

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

20%

2

80%

8

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of América de Cali and Alianza Atlético in Copa Sudamericana

Group Stage - Group A - Ranking

Team

3

América de Cali

6

2

3

1

6:5

9

1.5

W
L
W
D
D
4

Alianza Atlético

6

0

2

4

2:9

2

0.33

L
L
L
D
L
8th Finals
Play-offs

Who will win ?

América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético be played?
The Copa Sudamericana match between América de Cali and Alianza Atlético will be played on April 16, 2026 at 02:00.
Where will América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético be played?
The match between América de Cali and Alianza Atlético will be played at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali - South America
Who will referee América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético?
The referee for the match will be Anderson Daronco.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético in the Copa Sudamericana?
The odds are: América de Cali to win 1.44, draw 4.50, Alianza Atlético to win 7.00.
What are the betting odds for América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Copa Sudamericana?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.95 and Under 2.5 at 1.85.
Will both América de Cali and Alianza Atlético score in the Copa Sudamericana?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.20, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.61.
What is the most likely correct score for América de Cali vs Alianza Atlético in the Copa Sudamericana?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 6.

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