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Prediction published on Feb 6, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Feb 6, 2026 8:01 PM
The fifth round of the Clausura 2026 continues with a high-profile clash at the Ciudad de los Deportes stadium, where Club América will host Monterrey. This encounter brings together two of the most valuable squads in Mexican football, both eager to reaffirm their dominance after a mixed start to the season. Despite their historical success and strong rosters, neither side has fully convinced their supporters so far, making this fixture a crucial opportunity to regain momentum and confidence.
América approach this match sitting ninth in the Liga MX standings, having recently defeated Necaxa 2-0 on January 31, 2026. That victory ended a short winless run and provided a much-needed boost ahead of this demanding fixture. Over their last five matches, América have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 12 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
One of América’s most consistent strengths has been their stability in the first half. They have avoided defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 home matches in Liga MX, a sign of their ability to control the tempo early on. However, the team has also shown a tendency for low-scoring encounters, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in two of their last ten league games. The departure of their influential midfielder Alvaro Fidalgo to European football has left a creative gap in midfield, and the squad continues to adapt to his absence.
Monterrey arrive in Mexico City ranked sixth in the table after a 2-2 draw against Tijuana on February 1, 2026. Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five outings, with an impressive attacking average of 2.2 goals scored per game but also 1.4 conceded. Over the course of the season, Monterrey have achieved 13 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, maintaining an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
Offensively, Monterrey have been one of the most entertaining sides in the league. Their matches often start with intensity, as Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of their last 12 away games and in 23 of their last 24 overall. However, the team suffered a major blow with the departure of striker Germán Berterame to the United States, leaving a void in attack that has yet to be fully filled. Despite this, Monterrey’s attacking depth continues to make them a dangerous opponent capable of scoring in any venue.
The rivalry between América and Monterrey has produced tight and competitive encounters in recent years. In their last five meetings, América have won once, drawn twice, and lost twice, scoring an average of 1.0 goal while conceding 1.4. Their most recent clash ended 2-1 in favor of América on November 29, 2025, a result that still resonates among fans of both clubs.
Both teams enter this match with something to prove. América seek to consolidate their home form and climb back into the top positions, while Monterrey aim to demonstrate that their attacking power can overcome defensive inconsistencies. Given their recent performances, this fixture promises a dynamic and open contest, with both sides likely to find the net. América’s defensive discipline could be tested by Monterrey’s aggressive approach, especially in the early stages of the game.
Considering the offensive potential of both teams and their recent defensive vulnerabilities, this encounter is expected to deliver goals on both ends. América’s home advantage and Monterrey’s attacking rhythm suggest a balanced and entertaining match. The statistics strongly support the likelihood of both teams scoring, aligning with the overall trend of their recent performances.
América vs Monterrey prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
América
Monterrey
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
7
3
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1