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Amiens SC
1 - 3
FT
Red Star
Prediction published on Apr 30, 2026 6:05 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Apr 30, 2026 6:05 PM
The upcoming clash between Amiens SC and Red Star promises to be one of the most decisive fixtures of the 33rd round in Ligue 2. Scheduled for Saturday evening, this encounter at the Stade de la Licorne brings together two teams with completely different objectives. While Amiens SC are fighting to avoid relegation, Red Star are pushing hard to secure a place in the promotion playoffs. The contrast in form and morale between the two sides could make this match a turning point for both clubs as the season nears its conclusion.
Amiens SC find themselves in a very delicate situation. Sitting in 18th place in Ligue 2, they are running out of time to save their season. The team has collected only 2 points from their last 10 league matches, a run that has left them almost certain to face relegation. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-2 defeat against Montpellier on April 24, further deepening their struggles. Over the last five games, Amiens have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceding 2.2 per match.
Throughout the season, Amiens SC’s record stands at 6 wins, 6 draws, and 20 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their defensive fragility and lack of consistency have been major issues, especially at home, where they have lost at half time in their last three Ligue 2 matches. Despite their struggles, Amiens have been involved in lively games when it comes to corners — over 8.5 corners have been taken in 21 of their last 23 matches, showing that their matches often feature plenty of attacking activity, even if results have not gone their way.
In stark contrast, Red Star are enjoying a strong campaign and are currently positioned 6th in Ligue 2. Their recent form has been impressive, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five matches. They come into this fixture on the back of a thrilling 3-2 victory against Guingamp on April 24, a result that kept them firmly in the race for promotion playoff spots. Over the season, Red Star have built a solid record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.
Their attacking efficiency has been one of their key strengths, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they remain compact, conceding just 1.6 goals on average in that same period. While some of their matches have been tight — under 0.5 goals were scored in 4 of their last 18 Ligue 2 fixtures — they have shown the ability to adapt their style depending on the opponent. With momentum on their side and a clear objective of climbing into the top five, Red Star will approach this match with confidence.
Historically, Amiens SC have had a slight edge in this fixture, with 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five meetings against Red Star. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-3 victory for Red Star on August 15, 2025, suggesting that the balance of power may have shifted. Across those past meetings, Amiens have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, but their current form makes it difficult to imagine a repeat of those performances.
From a tactical standpoint, Amiens SC will likely focus on defensive organization and counterattacks, hoping to exploit any gaps left by Red Star’s forward pushes. However, given their recent defensive record, maintaining stability at the back will be a major challenge. Red Star, on the other hand, are expected to take control of possession and dictate the tempo. Their recent attacking rhythm and confidence could prove decisive, especially against a side struggling for morale and consistency.
With both teams having contrasting motivations — survival versus promotion — this match could produce an open and dynamic contest. Yet, the momentum and confidence clearly favor the visitors, who have shown greater efficiency and composure in recent weeks.
According to the latest probabilities, Red Star hold a 55% chance of winning, compared to 21% for Amiens SC and 24% for a draw. The balance of data and form strongly supports the visitors, who are in far better shape and have more to play for at this stage of the season. Given Amiens SC’s poor defensive record and Red Star’s attacking consistency, the most likely outcome appears to be a Red Star win (2).
Amiens SC vs Red Star prediction from BetMines: Red Star win (2) with 55% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Amiens SC
Red Star
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
7
3