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Prediction published on Feb 28, 2026 8:01 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Feb 28, 2026 8:01 PM
The 25th round of Ligue 2 concludes with an intriguing clash between Amiens SC and ES Troyes AC, scheduled for Monday evening at the Stade de la Licorne. The two sides approach this encounter with very different objectives. While Amiens are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, Troyes arrive as league leaders, determined to consolidate their position at the top. The contrast in form and ambition sets the stage for a compelling battle in northern France.
Amiens SC are enduring a difficult spell in Ligue 2, having managed just one victory in their last seven league outings. Their recent 0-0 draw against Reims on February 21 offered some defensive stability, but the lack of goals remains a concern. Currently sitting 16th in the standings, Amiens share the same number of points as the first team outside the relegation zone, which keeps their hopes of survival alive but under pressure.
Across the season, Amiens have recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their home performances have been inconsistent, with only two of their last ten home games ending without a goal being scored. Despite their struggles, Amiens have shown some attacking intent, averaging over seven corners per game in recent fixtures, which suggests they are still capable of creating chances even if the finishing touch has been lacking.
With the season entering its decisive phase, Amiens must rediscover their winning rhythm quickly. A positive result here would not only boost morale but also provide crucial points in their fight for survival.
ES Troyes AC travel to Amiens as the current leaders of Ligue 2, holding a two-point advantage over their nearest rivals. After a challenging run of four league games without a win and a Cup elimination, Troyes bounced back in spectacular fashion with a thrilling 4-3 victory over Pau FC on February 21. That result could mark a turning point as they look to maintain momentum in their promotion push.
Statistically, Troyes have been one of the most balanced teams in the division, with 13 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats. They average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, underlining their efficiency at both ends of the pitch. Away from home, they have shown resilience, drawing at half-time in seven of their last eight away fixtures. Although some of their recent away games have been low-scoring, their attacking quality often finds a way through.
With confidence restored after their latest win, Troyes will aim to exploit Amiens’ defensive vulnerabilities. Their attacking depth and consistency make them strong favorites to extend their lead at the top of the table.
Historically, Troyes have dominated this fixture. In the last five meetings, they have recorded four wins and one draw, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while conceding just 0.2. The most recent encounter ended 3-1 in favor of Troyes on October 28, 2025. These numbers highlight a clear trend that favors the visitors, who have consistently found ways to overcome Amiens in recent seasons.
Given the current form and statistical background, this match promises to be lively. Amiens will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on defensive organization and set pieces, while Troyes are expected to control possession and look for quick transitions. The home side’s challenge will be to contain Troyes’ attacking rhythm and avoid early setbacks that could tilt the balance decisively.
Considering the data and recent performances, ES Troyes AC appear better positioned to secure a positive result. Their superior attacking record, combined with Amiens’ defensive fragility, suggests that the visitors have the upper hand. However, Amiens’ need for points could make this a more open contest than expected, potentially leading to several goal-scoring opportunities on both sides.
Amiens SC vs ES Troyes AC prediction from BetMines: ES Troyes AC not to lose and Over 2.5 goals. This outcome aligns with the recent trends of both teams — Troyes’ attacking efficiency and Amiens’ defensive struggles — making it a logical choice for this Ligue 2 encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Amiens SC
Troyes
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
6
4
2
8
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
8
2