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Prediction published on Jan 24, 2026 2:01 PM by Dario in Belgium - Pro League | Modified on Jan 24, 2026 2:01 PM
The 22nd round of the Pro League brings an intriguing clash between Anderlecht and FCV Dender EH. Scheduled for Sunday afternoon, this fixture offers the Brussels side a chance to bounce back in front of their home supporters after a difficult run of results. Despite sitting in the upper part of the table, Anderlecht’s recent inconsistency has raised concerns, while Dender arrive with renewed confidence following a much-needed victory. With both teams eager to secure points for very different reasons, this encounter promises to be more competitive than the standings might suggest.
Anderlecht currently occupy 4th place in the Pro League standings, with a record of 10 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats. Their season average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match reflects a balanced but sometimes unpredictable side. The latest setback came in a 4-2 defeat against Gent on January 18, a result that exposed defensive vulnerabilities that had been masked in previous weeks.
Over their last five matches, Anderlecht have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. These numbers underline a team capable of finding the net but also prone to lapses at the back. At home, however, the Mauves have generally been more reliable, often using their attacking rhythm to dominate possession and create multiple chances. The memory of their 2-0 win in the reverse fixture earlier this season could serve as an important psychological boost ahead of this rematch.
Consistency remains the key challenge for Anderlecht. While their attacking potential is undeniable, maintaining defensive discipline will be crucial if they want to consolidate their top-four position and keep pressure on the league leaders.
FCV Dender EH approach this match from the opposite end of the table, sitting 16th with a record of 3 wins, 7 draws and 11 defeats. Their season has been marked by struggles in front of goal, averaging just 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 1.6. However, their recent 1-0 victory over Antwerp on January 18 provided a much-needed morale boost after a difficult run of three losses and one draw.
In their last five matches, Dender have managed 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals while conceding 1.8. Despite these modest numbers, the team has shown resilience, particularly in away fixtures where goals have been a constant feature. In fact, over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 10 away matches, and at least one goal has been recorded in the second half of all those games. These trends suggest that Dender rarely play dull matches on the road, even if results have not always gone their way.
Dender’s main challenge remains consistency and efficiency in attack. Their ability to convert chances will be tested against a side that, despite recent defensive issues, remains one of the strongest at home. If they can maintain the same discipline that earned them victory last weekend, they could make life difficult for their hosts.
Historically, Anderlecht have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings and averaging 2.4 goals scored per game against Dender. The visitors, on the other hand, have found it difficult to contain Anderlecht’s attacking play, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match in those encounters. Given the current form and the difference in squad depth, the home side enter as clear favourites.
However, Dender’s recent improvement and their tendency to be involved in open matches suggest that this could be a more competitive contest than expected. Both teams have shown defensive fragility in recent weeks, which could lead to opportunities at both ends. If Anderlecht manage to impose their rhythm early, they should have enough quality to secure the three points, but underestimating a motivated opponent could prove costly.
Considering the statistical trends and the current dynamics, this fixture could feature goals from both sides, with the home team likely to prevail. The combination of Anderlecht’s attacking strength and Dender’s willingness to take risks away from home points towards an entertaining encounter.
Anderlecht vs Dender prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with a probability of 59%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Anderlecht
Dender
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2