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Prediction published on Nov 3, 2026 6:06 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 3, 2026 6:06 PM
Anderlecht host Salzburg at Lotto Park in Brussels on Thursday, November 5, with kick-off scheduled for 17:45 local time. The Europa League matchday-four fixture brings together two sides close in the rankings: Anderlecht are 22nd and Salzburg are 21st. Both arrive after emphatic domestic victories, but their recent results tell different stories. Anderlecht have won two and lost three of their last five matches, while Salzburg are unbeaten across their last five. The home side’s recent high-scoring games and the visitors’ attacking form give this meeting plenty of potential for goals.
Anderlecht prepared for Salzburg’s visit with a 4-1 win over Westerlo on October 31. It was their second victory in five matches, a sequence that also includes three defeats. Across those five games, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. That balance suggests they can create chances, but their recent results have not been consistently positive.
Their Europa League campaign has also produced contrasting performances. A 3-0 away victory over Jagiellonia on matchday three gave Anderlecht a timely result, while they come into this fixture with back-to-back home wins. Another strong showing at Lotto Park would help them build on that momentum against a side positioned immediately above them in the rankings.
Goals have been a recurring feature of Anderlecht’s home fixtures: eight of their last ten home matches in all competitions have finished with more than 2.5 goals. The 4-1 result against Westerlo fits that pattern. Against Salzburg, the question is whether Anderlecht can make home advantage count while limiting the chances they allow at the other end.
Salzburg arrive following a 5-1 home win over Austria Lustenau on November 1. They have collected four wins and one draw in their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game during that stretch and conceding 1.2. Those figures give the visitors a strong recent attacking record heading into their trip to Brussels.
The draw in that five-match run came in the Europa League, a 2-2 away result against Celje. Salzburg’s only victory in the competition’s league phase so far also came on the road. More broadly, they are unbeaten in 12 consecutive away matches, with seven wins and five draws. That record provides a substantial counterpoint to Anderlecht’s recent home momentum.
Salzburg have avoided defeat in 20 of their last 21 matches overall. They have also been unbeaten at half-time in 19 of their last 21, winning at the interval in eight of their last 13. Later goals have been common in their games too: at least one second-half goal has been scored in 27 of their last 29 matches. Together with their recent scoring average, these figures suggest Salzburg can remain a threat throughout the contest.
This Europa League preview presents a close contest between Anderlecht’s encouraging home results and Salzburg’s long unbeaten away run. Anderlecht have the lift of consecutive wins at Lotto Park, including their four-goal display against Westerlo. Salzburg, however, have lost none of their last five matches and scored five times in their most recent outing. Neither side enters solely on the strength of one result.
The goal statistics are particularly notable. Anderlecht’s last five matches have featured averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while eight of their last ten home games have passed the 2.5-goal mark. Salzburg have averaged 3.2 goals scored across their last five and played out a 2-2 draw at Celje. Those are separate trends, but they point to a match in which both attacks could have opportunities.
The supplied head-to-head summary records two Salzburg wins in two meetings with Anderlecht, with Anderlecht averaging 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded across them. The most recent recorded meeting finished 4-1 on July 7, 2017. That history adds context, although the current form and the home-and-away records offer more immediate evidence for assessing this fixture.
Anderlecht will look to extend their home winning run, while Salzburg have an opportunity to carry their unbeaten away sequence into another Europa League match. With both teams coming off victories in which they scored at least four goals, and with Anderlecht’s home matches frequently clearing the 2.5-goal line, a game with several goals is a coherent expectation rather than a certainty.
Anderlecht vs Salzburg prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Anderlecht
Salzburg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
2
8
2
8
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
8
2