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Prediction published on Dec 24, 2025 8:01 PM by Dario in Belgium - Pro League | Modified on Dec 24, 2025 8:01 PM
The Belgian Pro League continues this weekend with one of its most intriguing fixtures of the 20th round as Anderlecht host Sporting Charleroi. While most European leagues take a winter break, the action in Belgium remains intense, and this clash promises to be a key moment for both sides. The home team have enjoyed a convincing first half of the season, sitting just outside the top three, while the visitors are struggling to find consistency and remain too close to the relegation zone for comfort. With both teams eager to end the year on a positive note, the encounter at Anderlecht’s ground is expected to deliver plenty of competitive football and tactical discipline.
Anderlecht approach this match in fourth place in the Pro League table, having collected 35 points from 19 games. Their campaign has been marked by solid performances and a balanced record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats. The team averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, showing a good mix of attacking efficiency and defensive reliability. In their last five league outings, Anderlecht have registered 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.6.
In their most recent fixture, Anderlecht drew 2-2 against Antwerp on December 21, a result that extended their unbeaten home streak and confirmed their resilience against strong opposition. Their home form has been particularly impressive, with the team rarely dropping points in front of their supporters. Historically, Anderlecht have also dominated this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings against Charleroi, including a narrow 1-0 victory in their previous encounter on October 24, 2025.
With a strong home record and a well-organized squad, Anderlecht will aim to capitalize on their momentum and secure another three points to keep pressure on the teams above them. Their attacking play has been consistent, and their defensive line, though occasionally tested, remains one of the most reliable in the league.
Sporting Charleroi have endured a more challenging campaign so far, currently sitting 12th in the table with 21 points. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats reflects a team that has struggled to find rhythm and consistency. Averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, Charleroi’s main issue has been turning draws into victories. Their last five matches have produced 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, showing a tendency to stay competitive but without the cutting edge needed to secure wins.
In their latest outing, Charleroi drew 2-2 against Genk on December 19, a result that extended their winless run in December. Their last league victory dates back to November 8, when they beat Westerlo 2-0. Away from home, Charleroi have found it difficult to impose themselves, often struggling to maintain defensive solidity for the full 90 minutes. However, their recent performances suggest some improvement in attack, as they have managed to score in most of their recent fixtures.
Charleroi’s main objective will be to avoid defeat and regain confidence before the second half of the season. Their defensive organization has improved slightly, conceding fewer goals recently, but they will need to show more attacking intent if they are to challenge a side as strong as Anderlecht on their own turf.
This fixture has traditionally been competitive, but recent history and current form both favor Anderlecht. The hosts have been dominant at home and have a clear edge in terms of squad depth and attacking options. Charleroi, on the other hand, have shown resilience but lack the consistency required to trouble the top sides in the league. The head-to-head record also leans towards Anderlecht, who have won three of the last five meetings while conceding just 0.6 goals per game on average.
From a statistical perspective, the match could be relatively tight. The Both Teams To Score – No trend has appeared in 53% of their recent games, while Under 2.5 goals has been recorded in 53% of matches involving these sides. This suggests that while Anderlecht are favorites, the game might not produce a high number of goals. Given their solid home form and Charleroi’s struggles on the road, a home win remains the most likely outcome.
According to the latest probabilities, Anderlecht have a 59% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 23% and a Sporting Charleroi victory at 18%. These figures underline the gap between the two teams’ current performances and expectations.
Anderlecht vs Sporting Charleroi prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Anderlecht
Sporting Charleroi
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
3
7
8
2
3.5
4
6
10
0
4.5
9
1
10
0