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Prediction published on Nov 28, 2025 6:02 PM by Dario in Belgium - Pro League | Modified on Nov 28, 2025 6:02 PM
The upcoming clash between Anderlecht and Union Saint-Gilloise promises to be one of the standout fixtures in the Jupiler Pro League calendar. Scheduled for November 30, 2025, this Brussels derby brings together two of Belgium’s most consistent sides this season. With Union leading the standings and Anderlecht sitting close behind in third, the encounter could have major implications for the title race. Both teams have displayed impressive defensive organization and attacking efficiency, suggesting a tightly contested match at Lotto Park.
Anderlecht approach this match in excellent form, having won four of their last five games across all competitions. Their most recent outing was a narrow but confident 0-1 victory over La Louvière on November 23. Under their current management, the Mauves have rediscovered the balance between solid defense and efficient attack, averaging 1.4 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per match in their last five fixtures.
In the Pro League, Anderlecht’s record stands at 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Their home form has been particularly strong, often taking control early — they have led at half time in their last three home matches. This early dominance has been a key factor in their climb up the table. With the likes of Dolberg and Verschaeren in attack, Anderlecht will look to exploit any defensive gaps in Union’s back line while maintaining their compact structure at the back.
Union Saint-Gilloise continue to impress both domestically and in Europe. Their latest success came on November 25, when they secured a 0-1 away win against Galatasaray — a result that underlines their tactical maturity and resilience. In the league, Union have been dominant, sitting top of the table with 11 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat. They boast the best defensive record in the competition, conceding an average of 0.5 goals per game, while scoring 2.1 goals on average.
Union’s consistency is remarkable: they have avoided defeat in 24 of their last 25 Pro League matches and have not lost at half time in any of their last 14 league games. Away from home, they remain a formidable opponent, having won at half time in 10 of their last 16 away fixtures. Their matches tend to come alive after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 10 league games. Coach Alexander Blessin’s side combines disciplined pressing with quick transitions, making them one of the most balanced teams in Belgium.
This derby has become one of the most intriguing rivalries in Belgian football. Historically, Union Saint-Gilloise have had the upper hand, winning four of the last five encounters, including a 2-0 victory on August 31, 2025. Anderlecht, however, will be eager to reverse that trend and prove their progress under their current coach. The hosts’ recent defensive solidity could be crucial in containing Union’s dynamic attack, led by players capable of striking from both open play and set pieces.
Given the recent form of both teams, the match could be decided by fine margins. Anderlecht’s ability to start strong at home contrasts with Union’s tendency to grow into games after halftime. The visitors’ unbeaten streak and defensive reliability suggest that goals may come at a premium, especially considering that both sides have been efficient but cautious in big fixtures. The tactical battle between Anderlecht’s structured buildup and Union’s vertical transitions will likely define the rhythm of the game.
The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% probability. Both teams have shown strong defensive organization and tend to keep matches tight, particularly in high-stakes encounters like this one.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Anderlecht
Union Saint-Gilloise
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
0
10
4
6
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
4
6
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1