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Prediction published on Sep 17, 2026 9:03 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Sep 17, 2026 9:03 PM
Angers SCO welcome Troyes on Saturday, September 19, 2026, as the fifth round of Ligue 1 takes place. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:45 local time at the Stade Raymond Kopa. The two teams have made identical starts in terms of results, each recording one win, one draw and two defeats. Angers sit 11th, immediately ahead of 12th-placed Troyes, making this an early meeting between closely matched sides. The hosts are still searching for their first home victory of the league season after defeats against LOSC Lille and Stade Rennais. Troyes, meanwhile, arrive following consecutive losses, including a heavy 6-2 setback against RC Strasbourg and a 2-0 defeat to LOSC Lille. With both clubs looking to move beyond four points, the match offers an important opportunity to regain momentum.
Angers SCO have collected four points from their opening four Ligue 1 fixtures. Their campaign began with a 2-0 defeat against LOSC Lille, but they responded by beating AJ Auxerre 3-1 away from home. A 2-1 loss to Stade Rennais followed before Angers secured a goalless draw against Le Havre on September 12.
Across their last five matches, Angers have registered two wins, one draw and two defeats, scoring and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. Their Ligue 1 season averages are slightly lower, with 1.0 goal scored and 1.3 conceded per fixture. The clean sheet against Le Havre therefore represented an encouraging defensive response after conceding in each of their first three league matches.
Home form remains an area Angers will want to improve. They have lost their first two Ligue 1 matches at the Stade Raymond Kopa this season, although those defeats came against Lille and Rennes. There has also been a clear low-scoring trend at this ground: under 3.5 total goals have been recorded in Angers' last 10 home league matches.
The hosts have experienced particular difficulty before the interval. Angers have not been ahead at half-time in any of their last 18 Ligue 1 matches, while they have trailed at the break in each of their previous four home league fixtures. They have also been behind at half-time in six of their last 10 matches, both overall and within Ligue 1. Improving their opening phase will consequently be one of the most important challenges in this fixture.
Anthony Lopes comes into the match after recording his first clean sheet of the season. Defensive options mentioned for Angers include Carlens Arcus, Jordan Lefort and Joseph Kalulu. Haris Belkebla, absent since the beginning of the campaign, is expected to return to the group and provide another midfield option alongside Yassin Belkhdim and Branco van den Boomen. In attack, Amine Sbaï and Amine El Ouazzani are among the players expected to carry the threat, with El Ouazzani having produced one goal and one assist in the league.
Troyes returned to Ligue 1 after winning Ligue 2 and made a positive start to the new season. They opened with a 0-0 away draw against Paris FC before earning a 2-1 victory over FC Lorient. However, their momentum has since been interrupted by back-to-back defeats.
The 6-2 loss against RC Strasbourg was followed by a 2-0 defeat to LOSC Lille on September 13. Troyes have therefore taken one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five matches. During that sequence, they averaged 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. Their four-match Ligue 1 record stands at one win, one draw and two losses, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.3 conceded per game.
One notable away trend concerns the period after the interval. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 20 of Troyes' last 22 away matches. That pattern suggests that their games on the road regularly remain active after half-time, whether Troyes are attempting to protect a result or trying to recover from an earlier setback.
The visitors have several unavailable players, with Yvann Titi, Paolo Gozzi, Ismaël Boura, Alexandre Phliponeau and Merwan Ifnaoui listed as injured. Patrick Beach is an option in goal, with Junior Diaz and Adrien Monfray among the defensive names available. Antoine Mille has contributed one goal and one assist this season, while Renaud Ripart and Jérémy Le Douaron have also opened their scoring accounts.
The records of the two teams underline how finely balanced this Ligue 1 fixture appears. Both have four points and identical win-draw-loss totals, while each averages exactly one goal scored per league match. Angers have been more secure defensively, conceding 1.3 goals per game compared with Troyes' 2.3, but they have yet to turn home advantage into a point this season.
The available probabilities also indicate an open contest. Troyes are assigned a 39% chance of victory, compared with 35% for Angers and 26% for the draw. The goals data points in a similar direction: both teams to score is rated at 56%, while over 2.5 goals carries a 55% probability. Those figures are supported by Troyes' recent defensive record, although Angers' run of 10 home league matches under 3.5 goals provides an important counterweight.
Recent head-to-head results favor Angers SCO. Their summary against Troyes shows four victories and one defeat, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The latest meeting, played on April 20, 2024, ended 2-1. Nevertheless, the current season statistics show little separation between the clubs, and Troyes have already collected four points despite their recent downturn.
The opening 45 minutes could shape the contest. Angers' sequence of 18 league games without leading at half-time, together with four consecutive home league matches in which they have trailed at the interval, highlights repeated problems with slow starts. Troyes will aim to exploit that pattern, while the hosts must find a way to begin with greater control. If Angers can avoid another difficult first half, their stronger defensive average and favorable head-to-head record may become increasingly relevant. If not, Troyes could gain the confidence needed to end their two-match losing run.
Angers SCO vs Troyes prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 72% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Angers SCO
Troyes
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
2
8
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1