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Prediction published on Nov 19, 2025 8:04 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Nov 19, 2025 8:04 PM
The 15th round of Ligue 2 brings an intriguing clash between FC Annecy and SC Bastia, scheduled for Friday evening at the Parc des Sports. This encounter features two sides with very different trajectories so far this season. Annecy sit comfortably in mid-table, while Bastia are struggling at the bottom, desperate to turn their campaign around. With both teams coming off contrasting results in the Coupe de France, this fixture promises to be decisive for their respective ambitions as the first half of the season nears its conclusion.
FC Annecy approach this home match with renewed confidence after a convincing 1-2 away win over Cannes in the Coupe de France on November 14. In Ligue 2, Laurent Guyot’s men have shown solid consistency, currently sitting 12th in the standings with a record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, highlighting a balanced but cautious approach.
At the Parc des Sports, Annecy have been particularly resilient. They have not lost at half-time in their last 13 home matches in Ligue 2, a sign of their ability to stay organized and competitive from the start. Their recent home performances include a stunning 4-0 victory over Saint-Étienne and a 1-1 draw against Boulogne, confirming that they are far more comfortable in front of their supporters than on the road. In fact, only two of their last ten home games have featured fewer than 0.5 total goals, showing that their matches tend to be lively and open.
Annecy’s recent form reads 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five outings, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. This balance between attack and defense has allowed them to remain competitive even against stronger opponents. With the team now back at home and buoyed by their recent cup success, they will be eager to secure another three points to climb closer to the top half of the table.
For SC Bastia, the first half of the season has been nothing short of a nightmare. The Corsican side find themselves bottom of the Ligue 2 table after 13 rounds, with just one win, four draws, and eight defeats. Their offensive struggles are evident, averaging only 0.5 goals scored per match while conceding 1.3 on average. Despite a morale-boosting 6-0 victory over US Château-Malo in the Coupe de France, their league form remains deeply concerning.
Under new coach Réginald Ray, Bastia are trying to rebuild confidence, but the road ahead looks steep. Away from home, they have lost five of their seven league trips, often struggling to impose themselves offensively. In their last five matches across all competitions, Bastia have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats, scoring 1.6 goals per game but still conceding 1.2 on average. These numbers suggest that while their attack has shown slight improvement, defensive lapses continue to cost them valuable points.
Historically, Bastia have found it difficult to perform in Annecy. Their last head-to-head encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on April 4, 2025, but overall, Annecy hold a slight edge with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five meetings. With eight points separating them from safety, Bastia urgently need results, yet their poor away record makes this trip to the Alps particularly daunting.
This match is shaping up as a classic duel between a confident home side and a struggling visitor. Annecy have built their success on defensive discipline and efficient transitions, often relying on their home crowd to push them forward. Their ability to stay compact and strike on the counter has been key, especially against teams that leave space at the back. With their recent attacking form improving, they will look to exploit Bastia’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Bastia, on the other hand, are still searching for stability. The change in management has brought some energy, but the team’s lack of consistency and confidence remains evident. Their defense has been leaky, and their attack too dependent on individual moments rather than collective play. Away from home, they have struggled to maintain intensity for 90 minutes, often conceding early and failing to recover.
Given the current dynamics, Annecy appear better equipped to control the rhythm of the game. Their home record, coupled with Bastia’s poor away form, suggests that the hosts have a clear advantage. However, Bastia’s recent cup win could give them a short-term morale boost, making them a potentially tricky opponent if they manage to score first. Still, the overall balance of form and statistics points toward a home-dominated contest with limited goal-scoring opportunities.
The most likely outcome is a FC Annecy win (1) with a 41% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 31%, while a SC Bastia win (2) stands at 29%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Annecy
Bastia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
3
7
8
2
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1