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Prediction published on Sep 16, 2026 6:18 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Sep 16, 2026 6:18 PM
Annecy welcome Dijon to the Parc des Sports on Friday, September 18, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 local time. This Ligue 2 fixture brings together two sides separated by eight places after six matches, with Annecy sitting fifth and Dijon occupying 13th position. Both teams enter the contest with identical scoring averages of 1.3 goals per league game, although Annecy have produced the stronger overall record. The hosts are looking to respond to a 2-1 defeat against Guingamp, while the visitors arrive after recording their first league victory of the season in a five-goal match against Laval. Despite those recent results, the wider statistics point towards a competitive encounter in which clear scoring opportunities may need to be used efficiently.
Annecy have opened their Ligue 2 campaign with three victories, one draw and two defeats. That return has taken them to fifth place, while their averages of 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match show that the margins in their games have generally remained manageable. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 loss away to Guingamp on September 12, so the objective here will be to produce an immediate reaction in front of their own supporters.
Across Annecy's last five matches, the team have collected two wins and one draw while suffering two defeats. They have averaged 1.4 goals at both ends during that sequence, indicating that their recent results have contained an equal balance between attacking production and goals conceded. The hosts have also scored in each of their opening six Ligue 2 rounds, giving them a consistent attacking foundation ahead of this meeting.
The first-half figures provide another important angle. At least one side has failed to score before the interval in 31 of Annecy's last 33 Ligue 2 matches. At the same time, Annecy have been ahead at half-time in seven of their previous ten league fixtures. Those numbers suggest that the home team have frequently established an early advantage without necessarily taking part in first halves where both sides find the net.
Dijon return to the road with renewed confidence after beating Laval 3-2 on September 11. It was their first victory of the league season and took their record to one win, three draws and two losses. Although Dijon remain 13th, their three draws underline how often they have stayed competitive, while only two defeats from six rounds match Annecy's total.
The visitors have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded across their Ligue 2 campaign. Looking only at the last five matches, both figures rise slightly: Dijon have scored an average of 1.4 goals and allowed 1.6, recording one victory, two draws and two defeats. Their attack has scored at least once in five of the first six league fixtures, including each of the previous four rounds, but their defensive average remains higher than Annecy's.
Dijon's away half-time record could help them stay in the contest. They have avoided being behind at the interval in 18 of their last 20 away matches. However, four of their last 18 away fixtures have ended the first half without a goal. That combination presents a mixed picture: Dijon have often remained level or ahead at the break, but some of those away games have taken time to open up.
The league positions favor Annecy, but the supplied win probabilities describe a closely balanced fixture. The hosts have a 33% chance of victory, the draw is rated at 30%, and Dijon receive the highest individual figure at 37%. That narrow distribution leaves little statistical basis for expecting either side to dominate solely on the strength of the match-result market.
There are attacking arguments on both sides. Annecy have scored in all six of their league matches, while Dijon have found the net in five of six and come into this game after putting three goals past Laval. Both teams average 1.3 goals scored per league fixture, with their respective last-five averages also level at 1.4. Nevertheless, the broader goal-market probabilities are more cautious than those recent scoring runs might initially suggest.
The probability of both teams scoring is listed at 45%, compared with 55% for at least one side failing to score. The last-ten BTTS figures are also low, standing at 7% for Annecy and 8% for Dijon. Meanwhile, the data assigns a 62% probability to under 2.5 goals, with the over rated at 38%. Annecy's extensive pattern of at least one team remaining scoreless in the first half adds further support to a measured outlook.
The latest head-to-head meeting finished 1-1 on August 3, 2024. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from Annecy's perspective, the record is one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. For this particular fixture, however, the current under 2.5 probability carries the clearest signal. Annecy's stronger league record must be weighed against Dijon's ability to avoid defeat at half-time away from home, creating the conditions for a tight match rather than an obvious result.
Annecy vs Dijon prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 62% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Annecy
Dijon
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
10
0
7
3