Arezzo host Benevento on October 24 in an Italian Serie B meeting between two newly promoted sides who have made encouraging starts. Kick-off is scheduled for 17:30 local time at the Stadio Città di Arezzo. Just one place separates them: Arezzo are ninth, while Benevento sit eighth. The hosts arrive after a comeback win at Sampdoria, but the visitors have gathered 10 points from their last four league matches. Arezzo vs Benevento brings together a home side looking to build on a notable result and an away side whose recent form suggests it has settled into the division.

Arezzo's Recent Form and Key Stats

Arezzo beat Sampdoria 2-1 away on October 18, overturning a deficit to take the points. They had drawn with Cremonese before that victory, giving them two positive results heading into this fixture. Across their last five matches, however, their record is balanced at two wins, one draw and two defeats. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match in that stretch, so the win over Sampdoria offers an opportunity to establish greater consistency rather than evidence of a sustained run.

Their Serie B record stands at three wins, one draw and three losses, with averages of 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. That gap between goals for and against helps explain why Arezzo may need to make the most of their chances against an in-form opponent. The opening period is another point to watch: 36 of Arezzo's last 40 matches have featured under 1.5 first-half goals. It is a strong historical trend, though the hosts' recent comeback shows they can still change the course of a match after falling behind.

Benevento's Recent Form and Key Stats

Benevento recovered from some early difficulties in adapting to Serie B and now arrive with three wins and a draw from their last four league games. Victories over Verona, Carrarese and Cesena were followed by a 2-2 draw with Vicenza on October 17. Over their most recent five matches, Benevento have won three, drawn one and lost one, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Their broader league record is three wins, two draws and two defeats.

There is a contrast between Benevento's season-long defensive average of 1.0 goal conceded per game and the two they allowed against Vicenza. Their scoring record, meanwhile, has been persistent: they have found the net in 26 of their last 28 matches. At least one second-half goal has been scored in each of Benevento's last 10 matches, counting goals by either team. They have also avoided trailing at half-time in 19 of their last 21. Those figures suggest Arezzo will have to remain alert beyond the interval, even if the opening stages are cautious.

Arezzo vs Benevento Match Analysis

The sides' recent results set up a close contest. Arezzo have home advantage and the momentum of their win at Sampdoria; Benevento have taken more points across their last four league outings and have the stronger scoring average over the last five. The supplied win probabilities underline how little separates them, assigning Arezzo 37%, Benevento 35% and the draw 28%. Neither side has a decisive edge on those figures alone.

Goals present a more nuanced picture. Arezzo have averaged fewer than one scored per game across their last five, while their first-half trend points to many restrained openings. Benevento's regular scoring and the run of second-half goals in their matches, however, leave room for the game to open up later. Their last meeting finished 1-0 to Benevento on May 9, but the more recent 2-1 and 2-2 results show why another single-goal match should not be assumed. The key question is whether Arezzo can turn their Sampdoria performance into another effective attacking display while limiting a Benevento side that has scored so consistently.

Arezzo vs Benevento prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 75% probability.