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Prediction published on Oct 8, 2026 5:32 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 8, 2026 5:32 PM
Arezzo host Cremonese at Stadio Città di Arezzo on October 10, with kick-off at 17:30 local time. The Serie B match brings together a newly promoted side aiming to secure its place in the division and a Cremonese team regarded as a promotion contender before the season. Their positions are close: Arezzo sit 13th with six points, while Cremonese are 15th with five. Recent results tell a different story, however. Arezzo have lost four of their last five matches and have struggled to contain opponents, whereas Cremonese arrive unbeaten across their last five. Whether the hosts can improve defensively may be the central question in this Arezzo vs Cremonese preview.
Arezzo have recorded two wins and three defeats in their Serie B season statistics, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceding 2.6. The 13 goals they have allowed are the most in the division, and 10 of those came across their last three league matches. That defensive record has become a concern for a team whose stated objective is survival.
The wider recent picture is similarly difficult: Arezzo's last five matches produced one win, no draws and four losses, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. They lost 2-0 against Lazio on September 27. Those figures underline the challenge facing the hosts against an opponent that has been scoring more regularly.
There is also a consistent attacking trend at home. Arezzo have scored at least once in each of their last 18 home matches, while their last 10 home fixtures have all featured more than 1.5 total goals. Each of those 10 games has also included at least one second-half goal. The home scoring run offers encouragement, but Arezzo will need more than that alone if they continue to concede at their recent rate.
Cremonese have one win, two draws and two defeats in their Serie B season statistics, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Those results explain why a side viewed as a promotion favorite began this fixture just one point behind Arezzo. Their more recent record is stronger: three wins and two draws in their last five matches, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
A 1-0 win against Juventus on October 2 was their latest listed result. The improvement has coincided with Pecchia taking over after Marco Giampaolo's dismissal. Pecchia is unbeaten in his first three matches, recording one win and two draws. A three-week break also gave the team time to work on his approach, which favors attacking play over extended possession.
Even with that unbeaten run, Cremonese's season-long defensive average suggests this is not a match they can assess solely through Arezzo's difficulties at the back. The visitors have the better recent results, but the hosts' long home scoring streak gives them a clear reason to expect a contest at both ends.
The contrast between Arezzo's defensive record and Cremonese's recent form shapes this matchup. Arezzo have conceded 2.8 goals per game over their last five matches; Cremonese have scored 1.8 per game over the same span of fixtures. That combination points to a demanding test for the home defense, particularly after 10 goals conceded across three league games.
History also favors the visitors. Arezzo have lost all five matches in the supplied head-to-head summary, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 2.4. The most recent meeting listed ended 4-0 on September 30, 2020. Those earlier results do not settle this fixture, but they add context to Cremonese's stronger recent run.
For Arezzo, the question is whether their reliable home scoring can make up for their recent defensive problems. For Cremonese, the task is to carry their unbeaten form into a match against a side that has scored in 18 consecutive home appearances. With all of Arezzo's last 10 home games featuring at least two total goals, and with both teams bringing clear attacking indicators into the fixture, the available evidence supports the possibility of another match with multiple goals.
Arezzo vs Cremonese prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Arezzo
Cremonese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
7
3
9
1