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Argentinos Juniors
1 - 0
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Atlético Tucumán
Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 12:22 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 12:22 PM
The upcoming clash between Argentinos Juniors and Atlético Tucumán in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides living very different moments in the competition. The home team arrives with strong momentum and a solid record at their stadium, while the visitors continue to struggle away from home despite showing some attacking consistency. With playoff qualification on the line, this fixture could prove decisive for both clubs’ aspirations.
Argentinos Juniors come into this match after a 3-1 defeat against Independiente Rivadavia on April 11, 2026, a result that ended a four-game winning streak. Despite that setback, their recent form remains impressive, with four wins in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, they have recorded six wins, five draws, and two losses, maintaining an average of 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.
Their home record is particularly strong. Argentinos Juniors have not lost in their last 16 home matches in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol, a streak that underlines their dominance at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona. In those games, they have combined defensive solidity with attacking efficiency, often controlling the tempo and limiting opponents’ chances. Interestingly, under 0.5 total goals have been recorded in only a few of their recent home fixtures, suggesting that their matches tend to produce goals, even if not in abundance.
With a current ranking of third in the league, Argentinos Juniors are well positioned to secure a playoff spot. A victory here would almost guarantee their qualification, fulfilling their main objective for the first half of the season. Their consistency at home and ability to recover quickly from setbacks make them clear favorites heading into this fixture.
Atlético Tucumán approach this match after a goalless draw against Tigre on April 12, 2026. Their recent form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five outings, averaging one goal scored and one conceded per game. Over the season, their record stands at two wins, four draws, and seven losses, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
Their biggest challenge has been their performance away from home. The team has not won any of their last 17 away matches in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol and has lost the last 12 in a row. Moreover, they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 18 away fixtures, often struggling to maintain defensive stability. Despite this, they have managed to score in most of those games, showing that their attack can still pose a threat even when results are unfavorable.
Currently sitting 13th in the standings, Atlético Tucumán face an uphill battle to reach the playoffs. Their qualification no longer depends solely on their own results, as they would need to win all remaining matches and hope for multiple rivals to drop points. Nevertheless, their ability to find the net even in defeat suggests they could still trouble the home defense, especially if they capitalize on set pieces or counterattacks.
This match brings together one of the strongest home sides in the league and one of the weakest travelers. Argentinos Juniors have built a fortress at home, combining tactical discipline with attacking flair, while Atlético Tucumán continue to struggle to earn points on the road. The visitors’ defensive fragility, particularly in the second half of matches, could be decisive once again, as over 0.5 goals have been scored after the break in each of their last 15 away fixtures.
Historically, meetings between these two teams have been balanced, with one win, three draws, and one defeat each in their last five head-to-head encounters, averaging one goal scored and one conceded per side. However, the current form and momentum clearly favor the home team. Given the attacking tendencies of both sides, a scenario where both teams score but Argentinos Juniors prevail seems plausible.
With a win probability of 63% for Argentinos Juniors, 24% for a draw, and only 14% for an Atlético Tucumán victory, the numbers strongly back the hosts. The likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 35%, while the under 2.5 goals market is favored at 65%, suggesting a match that could be competitive but not necessarily high-scoring.
Argentinos Juniors vs Atlético Tucumán prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Argentinos Juniors
Atlético Tucumán
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
8
2
10
0
4.5
9
1
10
0