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Argentinos Juniors
8:00 PM
September 13, 2026
Gimnasia La Plata
Prediction published on Sep 11, 2026 8:05 PM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Sep 11, 2026 8:05 PM
Argentinos Juniors host Gimnasia La Plata on September 13, 2026, at 20:00 in an important Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixture. The match at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona brings together the competition's first- and third-ranked teams, with the hosts holding a statistical advantage but the visitors arriving from a confidence-boosting victory. Argentinos Juniors are unbeaten in their last 18 home league matches, while Gimnasia have produced several games featuring regular scoring at both ends. The contrasting numbers create an intriguing contest: the home side have been difficult to defeat and concede only 0.8 goals per league match on average, whereas Gimnasia's latest five fixtures have delivered an average of 3.4 total goals.
Argentinos Juniors enter this match after drawing 0-0 with Barracas Central on September 7. Their last five games have produced two victories, two draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. Their broader Liga Profesional de Fútbol record is stronger, standing at 14 wins, nine draws and four losses. Across the season, they have averaged 1.2 goals for and only 0.8 against per match.
The clearest source of confidence is their excellent home record. Argentinos Juniors have avoided defeat in their last 18 home league fixtures and in 19 of their previous 20 home matches across the available data. They have also reached half-time without being behind in 18 of those last 20 home games. These sequences underline how difficult they have been to overcome at Estadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Their home performances during this championship have also demonstrated attacking potential. Against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, Racing Club and Aldosivi de Mar del Plata, Argentinos Juniors won all three matches and each game finished with more than 2.5 total goals. They scored seven times across those fixtures, showing the productive approach associated with Nicolás Diez's team. Their use of the ball and ambition around the opposition penalty area remain notable characteristics, although replacing recently transferred captain Alan Lescano presents a challenge.
Gimnasia La Plata travel to this fixture following a 2-1 victory over Tigre on September 5. Their previous five matches brought two wins, one draw and two defeats. They scored 1.4 goals per game during that sequence but conceded an average of 2.0, highlighting both their ability to create chances and the defensive vulnerability that has accompanied their recent performances.
The visitors have recorded 14 victories, two draws and 10 defeats in the league, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 allowed. Their matches have rarely ended level: Gimnasia have not drawn any of their last 18 Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixtures, while 20 of their previous 21 matches in all of the supplied data also produced a winner. The same pattern is visible away from home, where they have avoided a draw in 20 of their last 21 games.
Goals have been a recurring feature of Gimnasia's recent Clausura matches. Their games against Estudiantes de La Plata, Gimnasia de Mendoza, Rosario Central and Tigre ended 0-4, 2-3, 2-1 and 2-1 respectively. All four therefore contained at least three total goals. Their Clausura figures of 12 goals scored and 12 conceded amount to an average of three total goals per fixture, illustrating the balance between a capable attack and a defence that has regularly been breached.
There has also been at least one second-half goal in each of Gimnasia's last 10 matches. In addition, 18 of their previous 20 away league games have contained a first-half goal. Those trends suggest that decisive moments have not been restricted to one part of their matches. Corner numbers have also been notable, with more than 8.5 corners recorded in 18 of their last 20 away league fixtures.
The hosts' consistency at home gives Argentinos Juniors a clear platform. Their season-long defensive average is better than Gimnasia's, and the supplied win probabilities place them at 61%, compared with 24% for the draw and 16% for an away victory. Their latest meeting also ended in a 2-0 Argentinos Juniors win on May 3, 2026. However, the wider head-to-head summary gives Argentinos one win and four defeats, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, so the matchup has not always followed the current probability split.
From a goals perspective, the evidence is mixed but still points toward the possibility of multiple scoring moments. Gimnasia's recent results have often moved beyond two total goals, while all three cited Argentinos home matches in this championship also exceeded that mark. On the other hand, the structured probabilities give under 2.5 goals a narrow 55% edge and Both Teams To Score No a 56% chance. Argentinos' 0-0 draw with Barracas Central and their average of only 0.8 goals conceded across the league support a more measured outlook than Gimnasia's recent high-scoring sequence alone might suggest.
A middle ground is therefore the most coherent conclusion. Argentinos' home attacking record, Gimnasia's sequence of first- and second-half goals, and the visitors' recent defensive average all support the prospect of at least two goals without requiring another especially open contest. The hosts' unbeaten home run makes them difficult opponents, but Gimnasia's ability to produce decisive games should ensure that both teams have reasons to pursue a result.
Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata prediction from BetMines: Over 1.5 goals with 70% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Argentinos Juniors
Gimnasia La Plata
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1