Tools
Argentinos Juniors
3 - 1
FT
Newell's Old Boys
Prediction published on Oct 16, 2025 1:09 AM by Dario in Argentina - Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Modified on Oct 16, 2025 4:12 AM
Argentinos Juniors return to the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona this Friday evening looking to bounce back from their recent defeat against Defensa y Justicia. The Buenos Aires side had previously enjoyed a strong run of form, collecting three wins and one draw before that setback. Despite slipping to fourth place in the overall table, the “Bicho” remain confident thanks to their excellent home record in the Clausura, where they are still unbeaten with three victories and two draws. Their next challenge comes against a struggling Newell’s Old Boys side, who have been unable to find consistency in recent weeks.
Argentinos Juniors have been one of the most solid teams at home this season. Their performances at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona have been a major reason for their position near the top of the standings. In the current Clausura, they have beaten Banfield, Racing, and Unión, while holding Boca Juniors and Central Córdoba to draws. Their defensive discipline has been particularly impressive, conceding an average of just 0.7 goals per game across the season and maintaining several clean sheets in front of their fans.
In their last five matches, Argentinos Juniors have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per match while conceding only 0.6. Despite the recent loss to Defensa y Justicia, they remain a difficult side to break down, especially in the first half, where they have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 21 home games. Moreover, at least one team has failed to score before halftime in 32 of their last 34 matches, highlighting their cautious and organized approach in the early stages of games.
Historically, Argentinos Juniors have also enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In the last five head-to-head meetings with Newell’s Old Boys, they have won twice, drawn twice, and lost only once, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game while conceding just 0.2. Their defensive consistency and home advantage make them clear favorites heading into this encounter.
The situation is far less encouraging for Newell’s Old Boys. The Rosario-based club are enduring a difficult period, having gone four matches without a win (two draws and two defeats). Their last victory came several weeks ago, and they currently sit 14th in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. Under coach Fabbiani, the team has struggled to find balance, both defensively and offensively, managing to score only 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.2 on average this season.
In their most recent outing, Newell’s drew 1-1 with Tigre, a result that extended their winless streak. Over their last five matches, they have failed to secure a single victory, suffering three defeats and conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game. Their away form has been particularly concerning: in their last three road fixtures, they have lost all of them and failed to score a single goal. This lack of attacking output on the road is a major issue as they prepare to face one of the league’s most defensively solid home sides.
Another notable trend is that under 3.5 goals have been scored in 27 of their last 28 league matches, suggesting that Newell’s games tend to be tight and low-scoring. However, their inability to convert chances and their defensive fragility have left them vulnerable, especially against teams that dominate possession and press high, such as Argentinos Juniors.
This clash at the Estadio Diego Armando Maradona pits two sides in contrasting form. Argentinos Juniors are strong at home, compact in defense, and efficient in front of goal, while Newell’s Old Boys arrive in Buenos Aires low on confidence and struggling to find solutions in attack. The hosts’ ability to control the tempo and limit their opponents’ chances should once again be decisive.
Given the trends, this match is likely to follow a familiar pattern: Argentinos Juniors dictating play, Newell’s sitting deep, and few clear-cut chances overall. The visitors’ poor scoring record away from home and the hosts’ defensive reliability suggest that goals could be scarce. The last meeting between these two sides ended 0-0, and another low-scoring affair seems probable. However, with the “Bicho” unbeaten at home and motivated to return to winning ways, they are well-positioned to secure all three points.
Expect Argentinos Juniors to press high early, looking to capitalize on Newell’s defensive lapses, while maintaining their compact shape to protect their goal. If they manage to score first, their solid backline should be able to preserve the lead comfortably.
Argentinos Juniors vs Newell’s Old Boys prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Home Win (1) with a 65% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 24%, while an Away Win (2) stands at 11%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Argentinos Juniors
Newell's Old Boys
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
8
2