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Armenia
0 - 1
FT
Hungary
Prediction published on Nov 11, 2025 6:43 PM by Dario in Europe - WC Qualification Europe | Modified on Nov 12, 2025 11:10 AM
On Thursday, 13 November, Armenia and Hungary face off in one of the most anticipated matches of Matchday 5 in Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers. The game is particularly crucial for the visitors: a victory would secure their spot in the playoffs, provided that Portugal, the group leaders, defeat Ireland, currently third and just one point behind Hungary, in the other Group F match. Armenia, at the bottom of the standings, still nurture some hope of reaching the second place needed for the playoffs. To keep that hope alive, Melikyan’s side must win and rely on Ireland slipping up against Portugal, before defending second place in their final clash against Portugal. In a scenario where the race for second place remains wide open, we can expect a highly intense match, where tension and fear of losing may prevail over the desire for spectacle.
Armenia are going through a difficult period, coming off two consecutive defeats, the latest being a 1-0 loss to Ireland on 14 October. These two losses have slowed down Melikyan’s men in their bid for second place, making a victory against Hungary mandatory to keep playoff hopes alive.
In the first four matchdays of Group F, Armenia have collected 3 points, from 1 win and 3 losses, with an average of 0.5 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per match. These numbers highlight a national team struggling to score and with a defense that is far from solid and well-organized.
Armenia won their last home game (2-1 against Ireland), but prior to that, they had suffered four consecutive home defeats without scoring a single goal, in both World Cup Qualifiers and the UEFA Nations League.
Hungary come into this match with two consecutive positive results, keeping their dream of finishing second in Group F alive. In their last match on 14 October, the Hungarians secured an important 2-2 draw away against Portugal, with Szoboszlai scoring the decisive goal in the dying minutes.
Marco Rossi’s side have accumulated 5 points, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, averaging 2 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. The team remains defensively fragile, having kept just one clean sheet so far, but they have scored exactly two goals in each of the four Group F matches.
Away from home, Hungary have drawn their last two matches, both 2-2, against Ireland and Portugal. They have not won on the road for four matches, with their last away victory dating back to 14 October 2024: a 0-2 win against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Based on performances in the 2026 World Cup Qualifiers and the first-leg match, won 2-0 by Hungary on 11 October, BetMines’ prediction favors the visitors for the win. According to BetMines’ algorithm, Marco Rossi’s team has a 47% chance of winning, while Melikyan’s side is estimated at 27%.
From a goals perspective, the match is expected to be low on excitement and chances. The hosts have gone two matches without scoring, while Hungary may initially struggle against Armenia’s defensive setup before launching counterattacks.
A narrow Hungary victory is anticipated, determined to secure second place if they win and Ireland loses against Portugal. Based on this analysis, the two recommended predictions (tips) are an away win (2) and Under 2.5 goals, expecting a game similar to the first leg with fewer than three goals scored overall.
ARMENIA (3-4-3): Avagyan; Piloyan, Mkrtchyan, S. Muradyan; Hovhannisyan, K. Muradyan, Spertsyan, Tiknizyan; Serobyan, Ranos, Shaghoyan. Coach: Melikyan
HUNGARY (4-3-3): B. Toth; Nego, Orban, Szalai, Kerkez; Schafer, Styles, Szoboszlai; Bolla, Varga, Sallai. Coach: Rossi
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Armenia
Hungary
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
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4
8
2