Tools
Arsenal
2 - 0
FT
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Prediction published on Mar 15, 2026 10:02 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Mar 15, 2026 10:02 PM
The UEFA Champions League round of 16 reaches its decisive stage as Arsenal host Bayer 04 Leverkusen at the Emirates Stadium. After a 1-1 draw in Germany, everything is still to play for in London, with a place in the quarter-finals awaiting the winner. The Gunners will look to make their home advantage count, while the visitors aim to extend their unbeaten run and upset one of Europe’s most in-form sides. This clash promises intensity, attacking football, and a tactical battle between two teams that have impressed throughout the competition.
Arsenal approach this second leg in excellent form, having defeated Everton 2-0 in their latest Premier League outing. That result extended their unbeaten streak to 13 matches across all competitions. In the Champions League, the Gunners have been dominant, recording 8 wins and 1 draw this season, with an average of 2.7 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match. Their consistency has been remarkable, as they have not lost at half time in their last 26 matches and remain unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 home games.
At the Emirates, Arsenal have turned their ground into a fortress. They have scored in 19 of their last 20 home matches and have won at half time in 11 of their last 16 Champions League home fixtures. Their attacking rhythm rarely falters, with at least one goal scored in their last 15 matches and Over 1.5 goals recorded in each of their last 10 Champions League games. These numbers underline their offensive reliability and ability to control matches from start to finish.
In terms of personnel, Arsenal have faced some injury concerns, but their depth has allowed them to maintain momentum. Key forwards have stepped up in recent weeks, ensuring that the team continues to find the net regularly. The Gunners’ attacking balance, combined with their defensive discipline, makes them one of the most complete sides in this season’s competition.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen arrive in London after a 1-1 draw against Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga, their fifth draw in six matches. Despite their solid unbeaten run of six games, they have managed just one victory in that stretch. In the Champions League, their record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. These figures suggest a team that can compete with anyone but sometimes struggles to turn dominance into wins.
Leverkusen’s resilience has been evident throughout the season, but their defensive inconsistencies have occasionally cost them points. They have shown the ability to score against strong opponents, as seen in the first leg, where they created several chances and found the net against one of Europe’s best defences. However, their challenge will be to maintain that attacking threat while containing Arsenal’s relentless forward play.
Injuries have also affected the German side, with several key players unavailable for this trip. Nevertheless, their squad depth and tactical flexibility have allowed them to remain competitive. The visitors will rely on their creative midfielders and quick transitions to exploit any gaps left by Arsenal’s high pressing game. Their away record in Europe has been mixed, but they have proven capable of producing big performances on English soil in the past.
This second leg is expected to be a high-tempo encounter, with both teams eager to settle the tie within 90 minutes. Arsenal will likely dominate possession, using their fluid attacking patterns to stretch Leverkusen’s back line. The Gunners’ ability to score early could be decisive, especially given their strong record when leading at half time. On the other hand, Leverkusen will look to stay compact and hit on the counter, relying on their pace and creativity to trouble the hosts.
Historically, Arsenal have had the upper hand in this fixture, with 1 win and 2 draws in their previous meetings, averaging 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. The first leg’s 1-1 result reflected the balance between the sides, but Arsenal’s home form and attacking consistency could tilt the scales in their favour. Leverkusen’s challenge will be to maintain defensive concentration while capitalising on any opportunities that arise from set pieces or quick transitions.
Given the attacking quality on both sides, another open and entertaining match is expected. Arsenal’s recent scoring streak and Leverkusen’s ability to find the net in big games suggest that both teams could again be on the scoresheet. However, the Gunners’ superior form and home advantage make them slight favourites to progress.
Arsenal vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 49% probability.
Both sides have shown attacking intent throughout the campaign, and their first-leg draw highlighted their offensive strengths. Arsenal’s home scoring record and Leverkusen’s creativity make this outcome the most likely. Expect goals at both ends in what should be a thrilling Champions League night in London.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Arsenal
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
1
9
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
7
3