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Prediction published on Dec 1, 2025 8:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Dec 1, 2025 8:02 PM
After a weekend that saw their lead at the top of the Premier League trimmed to five points, Arsenal return to action at the Emirates Stadium to face Brentford. The Gunners remain unbeaten this season and will be eager to bounce back from their 1-1 draw at Chelsea. For Brentford, this midweek fixture represents a major test of their ambitions, as they look to close the gap on the European qualification spots. With both sides in good scoring form, this London derby promises to be an intriguing encounter.
Arsenal continue to set the pace in the Premier League, sitting first in the table with a record of nine wins, three draws, and just one defeat. Their consistency has been remarkable, remaining unbeaten in their last 17 matches across all competitions. The Gunners have scored in each of those games, averaging 1.9 goals per match in the league while conceding only 0.5 goals on average. Their defensive solidity has been a cornerstone of their success, particularly at home, where they have conceded just twice in six league fixtures.
At the Emirates, Arsenal have been dominant. They have won five of their six home league matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding only two. Their last three home league games have all been victories, including an emphatic 4-1 win over Tottenham. The Gunners also impressed in Europe, defeating Bayern Munich 3-1 in the Champions League. These results underline their strength on home soil, where they have not lost a Premier League match this season. Furthermore, Arsenal have led at half time in their last three home league games, showing their ability to start strongly and control matches early.
Manager Mikel Arteta will be monitoring the fitness of William Saliba, who missed the Chelsea game due to injury. Gabriel remains sidelined, while Leandro Trossard and Kai Havertz are also doubts. However, there is positive news with the return of Martin Ødegaard, Viktor Gyökeres, and Noni Madueke, all of whom are expected to be available for selection. Their return adds depth and creativity to a side already brimming with attacking options.
Brentford come into this match sitting tenth in the Premier League, but only three points behind fifth place. Their recent form has been encouraging, with three wins in their last five matches across all competitions. The Bees defeated Burnley 3-1 at home last weekend, a result that showcased their attacking potential. Striker Igor Thiago was the star of the show, scoring twice to take his tally to 11 league goals this season. However, Brentford’s away form remains a concern. They have lost five of their six away league games this season, with their only victory coming at West Ham United.
Historically, Brentford have struggled against Arsenal, particularly away from home. It has been 87 years since they last won an away fixture against the Gunners, a victory that dates back to 1938 at Highbury. In their last five head-to-head meetings, Arsenal have won four and drawn one, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game while conceding just 0.6. Brentford’s last visit to the Emirates ended in a 1-1 draw in April 2025, but replicating that result will be a major challenge given their current away record.
Manager Thomas Frank may opt for a more defensive setup, possibly deploying a back five to absorb Arsenal’s relentless attacking pressure. The Bees will be without Reiss Nelson, who is ineligible to play against his parent club. Despite this, Brentford’s attacking threat remains strong, with Thiago leading the line and looking to make amends for his missed penalty in their last away outing. The Bees have scored an average of 1.6 goals per game this season but have also conceded 1.5 goals per match, highlighting their vulnerability at the back.
This fixture pits the Premier League leaders against a side that has shown flashes of brilliance but lacks consistency away from home. Arsenal’s attacking rhythm, combined with their defensive discipline, makes them heavy favourites to secure another home victory. The Gunners have scored at least one goal in each of their last 12 home league matches and have been ahead at half time in six of their last ten at the Emirates. Their ability to dominate possession and create chances early could once again prove decisive.
Brentford, on the other hand, will rely on quick transitions and set pieces to trouble Arsenal’s backline. Their recent scoring record suggests they can find the net, but their defensive frailties on the road could be their undoing. Arsenal’s pressing game and fluid attacking movement, led by Ødegaard and Gyökeres, are likely to stretch Brentford’s defense. Given the historical dominance and current form of the home side, anything other than an Arsenal win would be a surprise.
With Arsenal unbeaten in 17 matches and Brentford struggling away from home, this encounter looks set to continue the Gunners’ impressive run. The Emirates crowd will expect a commanding performance as Arsenal aim to maintain their lead at the top of the table before a challenging trip to Aston Villa.
Arsenal vs Brentford prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is an Arsenal win (1) with a 69% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 20%, while a Brentford win (2) stands at 11%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Arsenal
Brentford
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
3
7
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
10
0