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Prediction published on Oct 22, 2026 3:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 22, 2026 3:03 PM
Arsenal host Everton at the Emirates Stadium on Saturday, October 24, in a Premier League Matchday 8 meeting between the teams currently ranked second and eighth. Arsenal have won six of their first seven league matches and return to London after a midweek 2-2 draw with FC Bayern München. Everton arrive following a 2-0 home defeat to Chelsea, their first league loss of the season. The contrast between Arsenal’s home results and Everton’s run of away draws gives this fixture a clear focus, although the visitors have proved difficult to beat so far.
Arsenal have taken six wins from seven Premier League games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. They needed a late breakthrough to beat Forest last weekend, creating one big chance and registering one shot on target in that match. A late goal was also required on Wednesday, when Declan Rice equalised against Bayern München to secure a 2-2 draw.
Rice’s equaliser was his first goal of the season and brought his tally to four direct goal contributions across his last six appearances in all competitions. He has also provided an assist in each of Arsenal’s last two Premier League home games. Eberechi Eze scored after replacing Bukayo Saka against Bayern; Eze has now scored in both of his Champions League appearances this season.
The midweek draw came with a concern for Arsenal, as Saka went off after 10 minutes with a quad injury. William Saliba and Christos Tzolis are out, while Piero Hincapie is a doubt. Those absences matter ahead of a quick return to league action, but Arsenal’s home results remain a significant part of the preview: they have won their last nine home matches and all four home fixtures across competitions this season, scoring at least twice in each of those four victories.
Arsenal’s league games have not necessarily produced high totals despite that home scoring record. Their last 17 Premier League matches have each finished with under 3.5 total goals, as have their last 10 league games at home. They have scored at least once in 21 of their last 22 Premier League matches and have avoided defeat at half-time in their last 19 home fixtures.
Everton have two wins, four draws and one defeat from their opening seven Premier League matches. After drawing 2-2 away to Hull City, they lost 2-0 to Chelsea on October 17. Across their last five matches, Everton have recorded two wins, two draws and one loss, scoring and conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game.
The four league draws illustrate how often Everton have stayed in contention without taking maximum points. All three of their away league matches this season have ended level, and their most recent top-flight away win came against Newcastle United at the end of February. They have scored eight league goals this term, with season averages of 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
Thierno Barry has been heavily involved in Everton’s attempts to score. He has missed six big chances this season, while recording 4.70 expected goals, 25 shots and 11 shots on target. Those figures show the opportunities reaching the striker, even as Everton look to improve their overall scoring return.
Christian Norgaard made his Everton debut against Chelsea after recovering from a groin injury, and David Moyes has a fully fit squad available according to the match information. Ainsley Maitland-Niles also featured in that defeat, with an error leading to Chelsea’s opening goal. Everton’s matches have often begun cautiously: their last 11 games have had under 1.5 total goals in the first half, while 27 of their last 30 have featured at least one second-half goal.
The recent meetings favour Arsenal. They are unbeaten in their last seven Premier League matches against Everton and have not lost a home game to them since April 2021. Across the five head-to-head results in the supplied summary, Arsenal have three wins and two draws, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. Their most recent meeting ended in a 2-0 Arsenal win on March 14, 2026.
Everton’s three away draws suggest they can make this a competitive afternoon, particularly against an Arsenal side that had to work hard for its recent results against Forest and Bayern. Yet Arsenal have kept winning at home, while Everton are still seeking their first away league victory of the season. The hosts’ nine-match home winning streak, combined with their unbeaten run in this league fixture, provides the stronger case when weighing the match outcome.
Goals may still need patience. Arsenal’s long sequence of Premier League games under 3.5 total goals sits alongside Everton’s repeated low-scoring first halves. At the same time, both teams’ second-half statistics leave room for the match to develop after the interval. For this Arsenal vs Everton preview, the home side’s results offer a firmer guide than an expectation of a particular scoreline.
Arsenal vs Everton prediction from BetMines: Arsenal win (1) with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Arsenal
Everton
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
10
0