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Prediction published on Jan 26, 2026 9:06 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on Jan 26, 2026 9:06 PM
The UEFA Champions League League Phase concludes with a clash between two teams at opposite ends of the table as Arsenal host Kairat Almaty on Wednesday. The English side sit comfortably at the top of the standings, while the Kazakh visitors occupy the bottom spot. Although qualification and elimination are already settled, both sides will look to end their campaigns on a positive note. Arsenal aim to maintain their perfect record in the competition, while Kairat will try to avoid another heavy defeat and restore some pride in their final outing.
Arsenal enter this fixture after a 3-2 defeat to Manchester United in the Premier League, a result that slightly dented their domestic momentum but did little to affect their European dominance. The Gunners have been flawless in the Champions League so far, winning all seven of their matches in the League Phase. Their attacking efficiency has been remarkable, averaging 2.9 goals per game while conceding just 0.3 goals per match. They have scored in 30 of their last 32 games across all competitions, underlining their consistent offensive threat.
At home, Arsenal have been particularly strong, having not lost at half time in their last 14 home matches. They have also led at the break in 10 of their last 15 Champions League home fixtures, showing their ability to start games with intensity. Despite the recent domestic setback, their European form remains impeccable, and they could make history by winning eight consecutive UCL matches by a margin of two or more goals for the first time.
Coach Mikel Arteta may rotate his squad slightly, with players such as Noni Madueke, Gabriel Martinelli, Eberechi Eze, and Viktor Gyokeres expected to feature. Gyokeres, who has scored twice in his last four appearances, could be one to watch as Arsenal look to finish the League Phase in style. The absence of Declan Rice and Mikel Merino due to suspension opens opportunities for others to impress before the knockout rounds begin.
Kairat Almaty have endured a difficult campaign, collecting just one point from seven matches. Their only positive result came in a goalless draw against Pafos, while their most recent outing ended in a 1-4 defeat to Club Brugge. The Kazakh side have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game in the competition, while scoring less than one goal per match on average. Their away record has been particularly poor, with three consecutive defeats in the League Phase, though they did manage to score in each of those games, including against Inter Milan.
Statistically, Kairat’s first halves have been problematic. They have lost at half time in their last three away matches and in six of their last ten Champions League fixtures overall. Furthermore, under 1.5 goals have been scored at half time in their last 11 away matches, suggesting a cautious approach early on. The team’s main attacking hope lies with Edmilson Santos, who has netted their only goal in this stage of the competition. Dastan Satpaev, who missed the previous match through injury, is expected to return, providing a small boost to their lineup.
Despite their struggles, Kairat will aim to make this final appearance a respectable one. Their focus will likely be on maintaining defensive discipline and avoiding another heavy loss against one of Europe’s most in-form sides.
This fixture may appear one-sided on paper, but it still carries significance for both teams. Arsenal will want to bounce back from their domestic defeat and maintain their perfect European record, while Kairat will be motivated to end their campaign with a competitive performance. The Gunners’ attacking power and defensive solidity make them overwhelming favourites, yet the visitors’ ability to score in tough away games suggests they could at least test the home defence.
Given the statistical trends, a high-scoring game seems unlikely. Arsenal’s matches have occasionally featured controlled performances once they establish a lead, while Kairat’s away fixtures often produce few first-half goals. The English side’s dominance, however, should still translate into a comfortable victory, even if the margin is narrower than expected.
Arsenal vs Kairat Almaty prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 68% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Arsenal
Kairat
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
10
0
8
2
4.5
10
0
10
0