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Prediction published on Jan 6, 2026 9:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Jan 6, 2026 9:02 PM
The Premier League spotlight shines brightly on the Emirates Stadium this week as Arsenal welcome Liverpool for a top-of-the-table encounter that could have major implications in the title race. The Gunners currently sit first in the standings, while the Reds occupy fourth place after 20 rounds. With both sides in strong form and plenty at stake, this clash promises to deliver high-quality football and plenty of drama.
Arsenal enter this fixture full of confidence after a thrilling 3-2 victory away to Bournemouth on January 3. That result extended their unbeaten run to five matches across all competitions, with four wins and one draw. The Gunners have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.2 goals scored per game while conceding just one on average during that stretch. Their overall Premier League record this season stands at 15 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 defeats, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match.
The North London side have been particularly dominant at home. They remain unbeaten in their last 16 matches at the Emirates and have scored in each of their last 17 home league games. In fact, at least one goal has been scored by Arsenal in their last 26 matches in all competitions. Their attacking consistency has been matched by resilience, as they have avoided defeat in 25 of their last 26 outings. The Gunners also tend to start strong, having led at half time in seven of their last ten home league fixtures.
Despite their attacking prowess, Arsenal’s recent games have often seen both teams find the net. In each of their last four home matches, both sides have scored in the second half, highlighting a pattern of open, entertaining football. The Gunners’ ability to maintain pressure throughout the match, combined with their home advantage, makes them formidable opponents for any visiting side.
Liverpool travel to North London after a 2-2 draw against Fulham on January 4, a result that extended their unbeaten streak to eight league matches. However, four of those games ended in draws, underlining a slight dip in their ability to close out matches. Over their last five fixtures, the Reds have recorded three wins and two draws, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Their Premier League record this season stands at 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
One of Liverpool’s main concerns this season has been their away form. In ten away league games, they have collected just 14 points (four wins, two draws, and four defeats) and conceded 18 goals — one more than the league’s bottom club. This defensive vulnerability on the road could prove costly against an Arsenal side that thrives at home. Nevertheless, Liverpool’s attacking unit remains dangerous, having scored in nearly every recent match and consistently producing goals in the second half. Indeed, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 36 of their last 38 league matches, including each of their last 14 away games.
Historically, Liverpool have enjoyed mixed results against Arsenal, with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five head-to-head meetings. Their most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of the Gunners back in August 2025. To stay in the title race, the Reds will need to rediscover their defensive discipline while maintaining their attacking edge.
This fixture brings together two of the Premier League’s most exciting attacking sides. Arsenal have been relentless at home, scoring freely and rarely dropping points, while Liverpool have shown resilience but continue to struggle defensively away from Anfield. The Gunners’ consistency in front of goal — having scored in every home match this season — contrasts with the Reds’ tendency to concede on their travels, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring contest.
Both teams have displayed a pattern of second-half action, with goals frequently arriving after the break. Arsenal’s recent matches have seen both sides score in the latter stages, and Liverpool’s away fixtures have followed a similar trend. Given these dynamics, fans can expect an open game with plenty of attacking exchanges and opportunities at both ends.
While Arsenal’s home advantage and superior league position make them favorites, Liverpool’s attacking quality ensures they remain a threat. The Gunners’ defensive record has dipped slightly in recent weeks, and the Reds’ ability to find late goals could make this a tightly contested affair. Based on the current form and statistical trends, the most likely scenario is that both teams will find the net.
Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Arsenal
Liverpool
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
0
10
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2