On Tuesday, April 29, all eyes will be on the Emirates Stadium for the first leg of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League semi-finals, featuring the Premier League's second-placed team and the champions of France: Arsenal and Paris Saint-Germain. The home side are riding high on confidence after eliminating the defending champions Real Madrid in the Round of 16 with an aggregate score of 5-1. Arteta's side showed tremendous defensive solidity against Los Blancos, as well as great courage by playing fearlessly against one of the most successful teams of recent years. Naturally, after defeating Ancelotti’s team, Arsenal’s chances of reaching their first final since the 2005/06 season have increased dramatically. Paris Saint-Germain, after clinching Ligue 1 several rounds early, are chasing a historic treble, also being in the running for the Coupe de France — a feat Luis Enrique knows well, having achieved it with Barcelona in 2015. To reach this crucial showdown, the Parisians had a tougher and longer path: after easily defeating Brest in the Round of 16, they overcame two English sides, Liverpool and Aston Villa. Now, to book a spot in their first Champions League final since the 2019/20 season, Paris Saint-Germain must take on yet another team from across the Channel, this time with the advantage of playing the second leg at home.

Arsenal's Recent Form and Key Stats

Arsenal come into this match unbeaten in their last 12 games across all competitions, picking up 6 wins and 6 draws. In their most recent Premier League fixture, they drew 2-2 against Crystal Palace, maintaining second place behind Liverpool. Over their last 5 matches, the Gunners have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per game.

In this season’s Champions League, Arteta’s men have secured 9 wins, 2 draws, and just 1 defeat, scoring 30 goals (2.5 per game) and conceding only 7. At the Emirates Stadium, Arsenal remain unbeaten (5 wins and 1 draw), with 14 goals scored and only 2 conceded across 6 matches. Their top scorer in the competition so far is Bukayo Saka with 5 goals.

Paris Saint-Germain's Recent Form and Key Stats

Paris Saint-Germain, over their last 5 games in all competitions, have collected 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats. Despite having already secured the Ligue 1 title, they suffered their first league loss of the season against Nice (1-3). The other setback came against Aston Villa in the second leg of the Champions League quarter-finals, though it had no bearing on their qualification.

In the Champions League, PSG have had a trickier campaign, especially during the group stage. Overall, they have recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 5 defeats, scoring 30 goals and conceding 14. Away from home, their record stands at 4 wins and 3 losses, with 13 goals scored and 7 conceded. Among their standout performers is Ousmane Dembélé, who has netted 7 goals so far.

Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction and Tactical Overview

Against Real Madrid, Arsenal showcased impressive defensive resilience, conceding just one goal across the two-legged quarter-final clash. However, for this match, Arteta will have to do without Thomas Partey, the midfielder who usually shields the defense. In his absence, Declan Rice is expected to drop deeper, with Mikel Merino moving up to a more advanced role, allowing Leandro Trossard to start from the first minute. Scoring goals hasn't been a problem for the Gunners, who have failed to score at the Emirates Stadium on only two occasions in 2025.

Partey's absence undoubtedly gives Paris Saint-Germain an advantage, although it's worth noting that the Parisians are starting to show some fatigue after a relentless season. Given the attacking firepower at Luis Enrique’s disposal — as evidenced by their 2.12 Expected Goals (xG) per game in the Champions League — it's highly likely that PSG will find the back of the net at least once.

For these reasons, the BetMines algorithm's prediction for Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain anticipates a very balanced match, with both teams expected to score at least one goal.

• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain predicts that both teams will score at least one goal at 59%
• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain predicts that at least one of the two teams will not score any goals at 41%.

Arsenal vs Paris Saint-Germain Predicted Lineups

Arsenal (4-3-3): Raya; Timber, Saliba, Kiwior, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Rice, Merino; Saka, Trossard, Martinelli. Manager: Arteta

Paris Saint-Germain (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Pacho, Marquinhos, Mendes; Neves, Vitinha, Ruiz; Doue, Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia. Manager: Enrique