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Arsenal vs West Ham United Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 04-10-2025

Arsenal

2 - 0

FT

West Ham United

Emirates Stadium
J. Brooks
light rain °C

Prediction published on Oct 2, 2025 4:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 2, 2025 4:24 PM

Saturday’s Premier League schedule delivers a high-stakes London Derby as Arsenal host West Ham United at the Emirates Stadium. The Gunners are currently sitting second in the table and chasing top spot, while the Hammers find themselves in deep trouble, placed 19th after six rounds. With both sides carrying very different ambitions, this clash promises intensity, history, and plenty of talking points.


Arsenal’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Arsenal come into this fixture in excellent shape, unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions (W4, D1). Their most recent outing was a confident 2-0 win over Olympiacos in the Champions League, which followed a dramatic late victory against Newcastle in the league. The Gunners have only lost once this season – against Liverpool – and have otherwise been consistent both domestically and in Europe.


At the Emirates, Mikel Arteta’s men have been particularly strong. They remain unbeaten at home this season (W3, D1) and have kept clean sheets in three of those four matches. Defensively, Arsenal boast the best record in the Premier League, conceding just 0.5 goals per game on average, and they also lead the league in lowest expected goals conceded (xGC). Their ability to shut down opponents has been a cornerstone of their campaign so far.


In terms of personnel, Arsenal will be without Piero Hincapie, Noni Madueke, Kai Havertz, and Gabriel Jesus due to injuries. However, Gabriel Magalhaes is expected to be available despite a precautionary substitution in midweek, while Bukayo Saka is set to mark his 200th Premier League appearance. Another player to watch is Gabriel Martinelli, who has scored in his last two home appearances and will be pushing for a starting role.


West Ham United’s Recent Form and Key Stats


West Ham United enter this derby under new management, with Nuno Espirito Santo taking charge after Graham Potter’s poor start. The Hammers managed to grind out a 1-1 draw against Everton last week, showing signs of resilience and improvement. Despite their struggles, they have collected four points from their last two away matches (W1, D1), suggesting they may be turning a corner.


Historically, West Ham have enjoyed surprising success at the Emirates in recent years, winning on their last two league visits. That record will give them confidence, especially with Jarrod Bowen in the side – the winger scored the equaliser against Everton and also netted the winner at Arsenal last season. However, their overall form remains concerning: just one win in six league matches, with an average of 2.3 goals conceded per game.


Squad-wise, Tomas Soucek remains suspended, while Aaron Wan-Bissaka is a doubt due to illness. Nuno faces key selection dilemmas, particularly in attack, where he must choose between Niclas Fullkrug and Callum Wilson, and in midfield, where Soungoutou Magassa could retain his place ahead of James Ward-Prowse.


Arsenal vs West Ham Prediction and Tactical Overview


This London Derby pits one of the league’s most in-form sides against a team still finding its feet under new leadership. Arsenal are heavy favourites, backed by their defensive solidity, unbeaten home record, and attacking depth. However, West Ham’s recent history at the Emirates and their slight upturn under Nuno suggest this may not be a straightforward contest.


Arsenal’s ability to control matches at home, combined with their defensive strength, makes them difficult to break down. West Ham will likely rely on counter-attacks and the individual brilliance of Bowen or their chosen striker to create chances. Still, with Arsenal’s backline in top form and their midfield dictating play, the Gunners should have enough to secure the points.


That said, given the Hammers’ defensive improvements and Arsenal’s tendency to grind out results rather than blow teams away, this match could be tighter than expected. Recent head-to-heads have also been low-scoring, with under 3.5 goals a recurring theme.


Arsenal vs West Ham prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 69% probability.

Arsenal vs West Ham United - Predictions

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Arsenal vs West Ham United: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Arsenal

West Ham United

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

1.5

50%

5

50%

5

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

100%

10

0%

0

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

BetMines

Standings of Arsenal and West Ham United in Premier League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Arsenal

38

26

7

5

71:27

85

2.24

W
W
W
W
W
18

West Ham United

38

10

9

19

46:65

39

1.03

W
L
L
L
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Arsenal vs West Ham United: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Arsenal vs West Ham United be played?
The Premier League match between Arsenal and West Ham United will be played on October 4, 2025 at 14:00.
Where will Arsenal vs West Ham United be played?
The match between Arsenal and West Ham United will be played at Emirates Stadium, London - England
Who will referee Arsenal vs West Ham United?
The referee for the match will be J. Brooks.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Arsenal vs West Ham United in the Premier League?
The odds are: Arsenal to win 1.18, draw 7.00, West Ham United to win 15.00.
What are the betting odds for Arsenal vs West Ham United for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.53 and Under 2.5 at 2.50.
Will both Arsenal and West Ham United score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 2.20, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.61.
What are the head-to-head results between Arsenal and West Ham United?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Arsenal and West Ham United, Arsenal won 2 times, West Ham United won 3, and 0 ended in a draw.

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