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Prediction published on Sep 3, 2026 3:37 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Sep 3, 2026 3:37 PM
Ascoli welcome Benevento in one of the notable fixtures from the third round of the 2026/27 Serie B season. The match is scheduled for September 5, 2026, at 15:15 local time at the Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. Both clubs are newly promoted and are still adapting to the demands of the division, but their opening performances have already provided goals and talking points. Ascoli have made the stronger league start, collecting four points from their first two matches, while Benevento are still searching for their first victory after taking one point. The early standings place the hosts fifth and the visitors 17th, although this fixture arrives at a stage of the campaign when both teams are still establishing their level. With Ascoli carrying a long unbeaten home sequence and Benevento regularly finding the net, this Serie B match preview points towards a competitive contest.
Ascoli have started their Serie B campaign with one victory and one draw, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match while conceding 1.0. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw against Carrarese on August 29, which kept their unbeaten league opening intact. The positive beginning also includes a victory in Verona, a result that demonstrated their ability to compete after promotion.
Across their last five matches, Ascoli have recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats. During that sequence, they averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Those figures show that their recent fixtures have offered opportunities at both ends, but their home record provides a particularly strong foundation before Benevento arrive.
The hosts have not lost in their last 15 home matches, underlining how difficult they have been to overcome at the Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. Their scoring consistency on home soil is equally significant: Ascoli have found the net at least once in each of their previous 13 home fixtures. That combination of resilience and regular attacking output explains why they enter this match with a 45% win probability, compared with 26% for the draw and 29% for a Benevento victory.
Second-half activity has also been a recurring feature of Ascoli's games. At least one goal after the interval has been scored in their last 10 home matches and in 21 of their previous 22 fixtures overall. In addition, Ascoli have avoided being behind at half-time in 18 of their last 20 home games. These trends suggest that the hosts are capable of staying competitive through the opening period before making an impact later in the contest.
Benevento have taken one point from their opening two Serie B matches, with a record of no wins, one draw and one defeat. They lost against Modena before drawing 1-1 with Südtirol on August 30. Their league averages currently stand at 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per match, leaving them with work to do as they pursue their first win following promotion.
The visitors' broader five-match sequence contains one victory, two draws and two defeats. Benevento averaged 2.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded across those games, numbers that reflect both their attacking potential and the number of chances opponents have converted against them. Their Coppa Italia campaign also produced eventful football, including a defeat in Florence.
Salvemini has been one of Benevento's main positives at the beginning of the season. The forward, described as an experienced Serie C scorer who is now being tested at Serie B level, has already scored four goals in the opening part of the campaign. His early contribution gives the visitors an important attacking reference as they attempt to improve on their first two league results.
Benevento's scoring record extends beyond the new Serie B season. They have registered at least one goal in 22 of their last 23 matches, indicating that they frequently create enough to get on the scoresheet even when the final result is not positive. That run will be tested by an Ascoli side unbeaten in 15 consecutive home fixtures, but the visitors' ability to score regularly means the home defence should still face a meaningful challenge.
The contrast between Ascoli's reliable home record and Benevento's persistent scoring sequence shapes the outlook for this match. The hosts have scored in 13 straight home games and have opened the league season by averaging 1.5 goals, while Benevento have found the net in 22 of their previous 23 matches. Ascoli therefore hold the stronger overall starting position, but the available statistics do not make a clean sheet straightforward to expect.
There are also reasons to anticipate a balanced encounter rather than clear dominance. Benevento have conceded an average of 1.5 goals in their first two league matches, while Ascoli's last-five average is 1.8 goals allowed per game. At the same time, both teams drew 1-1 in their latest Serie B outings. Ascoli shared the points with Carrarese, and Benevento produced the same scoreline against Südtirol.
The head-to-head record is more restrained. The latest meeting finished 0-0 on February 26, 2023, while Ascoli's summary from the listed direct clashes stands at one win, two draws and two defeats. Across that head-to-head sample, Ascoli averaged only 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Those numbers provide a low-scoring counterpoint to the more attack-focused recent trends of both sides.
The goals markets are consequently close. Both Teams To Score is assessed at 52% for Yes and 48% for No, while Under 2.5 goals also carries a 52% probability against 48% for Over. However, Ascoli's uninterrupted home scoring run and Benevento's record of scoring in 22 of 23 matches give the clearest shared theme. With both promoted teams showing that they can find the net, a goal for each side is a coherent conclusion to the available form data.
Ascoli vs Benevento prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ascoli
Benevento
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3