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Prediction published on Oct 25, 2026 7:06 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie B | Modified on Oct 25, 2026 7:06 PM
Ascoli host Sampdoria in Serie B on October 27, 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 local time at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. The teams arrive in contrasting positions: Ascoli are fourth after a four-match unbeaten run, while Sampdoria sit 19th with five points. A 6-1 away win over Catanzaro has added to the home side’s momentum, but Sampdoria showed renewed determination in a 1-1 draw with Südtirol. The question for the visitors is whether that response can bring them a result against a side that has not lost any of its last 18 home matches.
Ascoli produced their most striking recent result on October 24, beating Catanzaro 6-1 away from home. Before that, they had drawn with Empoli and Südtirol and beaten Avellino 3-1. Those results make up a four-game unbeaten sequence, with their defeat on September 12 remaining their only loss in this Serie B campaign.
The broader numbers explain why Ascoli enter this match in a strong position. Their league record stands at four wins, three draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Across their last five matches, they have two wins, two draws and one loss, scoring 2.0 goals per game on average while conceding 0.8. The six goals against Catanzaro were an exceptional return, but their recent scoring average also points to a sustained attacking contribution.
Home form gives Ascoli another source of confidence. They are unbeaten in their last 18 home matches and have scored at least once in each of their last 16. Those runs do not guarantee a result against Sampdoria, yet they show how consistently Ascoli have avoided defeat and found a goal on their own ground. After their emphatic win at Catanzaro, they return home looking to extend both sequences.
Sampdoria travel to Ascoli with one win, two draws and five defeats in Serie B. Their last five matches have brought one win, one draw and three losses, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per game. That gap between goals for and against has made it difficult to turn performances into points, and the trip to face fourth-placed Ascoli presents a demanding test.
Their latest outing ended 1-1 against Südtirol on October 24. It was D'Angelo’s first match after the change from Corradi, and Sampdoria were close to a win before conceding an equaliser in the 96th minute. The result offered encouragement in terms of their willingness to fight, but it also left the new coach waiting for his first victory. Another concern is player availability: at least six Sampdoria players are set to miss this match, including Insigne.
For Sampdoria, the immediate challenge is to build on the response they showed against Südtirol while limiting the defensive problems reflected in their recent results. They have conceded 2.0 goals per game on average both across their last five matches and over the league season. Facing an Ascoli side that scored six times in its previous outing makes that an especially important part of this fixture.
The recent form and home record favour Ascoli. They have lost only once in the league, have taken eight points from their last four matches and have not been beaten in 18 home games. Sampdoria, by contrast, have lost three of their last five and are still seeking a first win under D'Angelo. Ascoli’s run of scoring in 16 straight home matches also gives the visitors a clear defensive challenge.
There is a qualification to that picture in the teams’ previous meetings. From the five head-to-head results supplied, Ascoli have no wins, three draws and two defeats against Sampdoria, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their most recent meeting, on March 11, 2024, finished 2-1. That record offers a reminder that Ascoli’s current league position does not, by itself, settle this contest.
Sampdoria’s late setback against Südtirol makes it harder to judge how much their change of coach has altered their prospects after just one match. Ascoli have the stronger recent results and the more convincing home sequence, while the head-to-head record leaves room for a close game. Avoiding defeat at home is the outcome most firmly supported by the available form.
Ascoli vs Sampdoria prediction from BetMines: Ascoli or Draw (1X) with 81% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ascoli
Sampdoria
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1