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Prediction published on Jan 7, 2026 9:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Jan 7, 2026 9:01 PM
The upcoming clash between Ascoli and Ternana in Serie C: Girone B promises to be one of the most balanced fixtures of the round. Both sides have shown competitive form so far, but they arrive at this encounter with contrasting emotions. The hosts are looking to bounce back after a heavy defeat, while the visitors are riding a wave of positive results. With the match scheduled for Friday evening, fans at the Del Duca can expect a tense and tactical battle between two ambitious clubs aiming to stay close to the top of the table.
Ascoli come into this match after a tough 4-2 loss away to Pianese on January 3, 2026. That setback was particularly surprising given their usually solid defensive record this season. Despite that defeat, the team remains in third place in Serie C: Girone B, showing consistency across the campaign with 9 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses. Their average of 1.5 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game highlights a well-balanced side that rarely allows opponents to dominate.
At home, Ascoli have been especially resilient. They have not lost at half time in their last 15 home matches and have maintained that record in 29 of their last 30 league games. This stability often allows them to control the rhythm early on, making the Del Duca a difficult ground for visiting teams. In terms of scoring patterns, Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in 4 of their last 13 home fixtures, suggesting that their matches often start cautiously before opening up later.
Recent form shows some inconsistency, with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five outings, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The defeat to Pianese might serve as a wake-up call, pushing the team to reassert their defensive discipline and rediscover the efficiency that has kept them near the top of the standings.
Ternana approach this fixture in excellent shape, having beaten Livorno 2-1 on January 4, 2026. Their recent run of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in the last five matches reflects a team growing in confidence. Over the season, they have collected 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match. Despite a five-point penalty that currently places them seventh, their performances suggest they could easily be challenging for a top-three position.
On the road, Ternana have been particularly tough to beat, remaining unbeaten in their last six away matches with four draws and two wins. Their defensive organization has been key, as shown by the fact that Under 0.5 goals have been scored in 3 of their last 11 away games. This cautious approach often allows them to frustrate opponents and capitalize on counterattacks. Additionally, Under 10.5 corners have been recorded in 24 of their last 25 matches, underlining their tendency to keep games tight and controlled.
With momentum on their side, Ternana will look to extend their positive streak and close the gap on their rivals. Their recent consistency, combined with a disciplined defensive setup, makes them a dangerous opponent even away from home.
This encounter brings together two sides with similar ambitions and complementary strengths. Ascoli will rely on their home advantage and defensive solidity, while Ternana will aim to maintain their unbeaten away run. Historically, their head-to-head record is balanced, with Ascoli winning three and losing two of the last five meetings, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The most recent clash ended 0-2 in favor of Ternana, showing that the visitors are capable of producing results even in challenging venues.
Given both teams’ recent trends, this match is likely to be tight and low-scoring. Ascoli’s strong defensive record at home contrasts with Ternana’s disciplined away performances, suggesting that neither side will take excessive risks. The statistical indicators also point toward a cautious affair: Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 67% of matches, while Both Teams To Score – No appears in 60% of recent games. These numbers reinforce the expectation of a tactical battle rather than an open contest.
Ascoli’s ability to avoid defeat at home and Ternana’s resilience on the road make the draw a plausible outcome. However, considering the hosts’ consistency at the Del Duca and their tendency to remain unbeaten at half time, a Double Chance (1X) outcome seems the most logical approach. Combining this with an Under 3.5 goals selection aligns with both teams’ defensive profiles and recent scoring averages.
Ascoli vs Ternana prediction by BetMines:
Double Chance (1X) + Under 3.5 goals – a balanced option supported by both teams’ recent form and defensive reliability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ascoli
Ternana
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1