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Aston Villa
2:00 PM
September 12, 2026
Nottingham Forest
Prediction published on Sep 10, 2026 2:54 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Sep 10, 2026 2:54 PM
Aston Villa host Nottingham Forest at Villa Park on September 12, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 14:00 local time. Both teams are searching for their first Premier League victory of the season after difficult opening runs. Villa sit 18th with one point from three matches, while Forest are 16th after collecting two points. The hosts have not scored a league goal this term, although their midweek Champions League victory may provide a timely lift. Forest have also lacked consistency, drawing their last two Premier League fixtures and scoring in only one of their four league and cup games. With valuable points available to two sides near the bottom of the early standings, this Premier League meeting carries significance for both teams.
Aston Villa have opened their league campaign with no wins, one draw and two defeats. Their Premier League average stands at 0.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, highlighting the main issue they must solve against Nottingham Forest. Villa started with a 4-0 defeat at Brighton, conceding all four goals before half-time. They then suffered a 1-0 home loss to Arsenal before recording a goalless draw at Hull.
Results across their last five matches show one victory, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. However, the most recent result was encouraging: Villa beat Club Brugge 3-2 on September 8. That Champions League success was their first win of the new season and also ended their wait for goals, with new signing Nicholas Jackson finding the net. The challenge now is to carry that improvement into the Premier League.
Villa are dealing with several availability concerns. Onana, Majo and Goretzka are out, while Joao Gomes is suspended following his red card against Brighton. Matty Cash remains a doubt after missing the victory over Club Brugge, while Taylor Harwood-Bellis is available for selection. The squad was also affected by the summer departures of key players, including three England internationals.
One notable home pattern is that at least one second-half goal has been scored in Aston Villa's last 12 home matches. That sequence suggests the contest could open up after the interval even if the hosts initially struggle to turn possession and opportunities into goals.
Nottingham Forest are also winless in the Premier League, registering two draws and one defeat. Their league averages are 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Forest lost 1-0 at home to Leeds before drawing 2-2 with Liverpool and 0-0 against Tottenham Hotspur, with the latter result coming on September 5. They were also beaten 2-0 by Leeds in the Carabao Cup.
Across their last five matches in all competitions, Forest have recorded one win, two draws and two defeats. They have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded during that period. Their 2-2 draw with Liverpool accounts for most of the attacking output from their opening league fixtures, while the goalless draw against Tottenham showed that they can keep a clean sheet despite their slow start.
Several away trends point towards the possibility of goals at Villa Park. Forest's last 13 Premier League away matches have all produced over 1.5 total goals, while at least one first-half goal has been scored in each of those 13 games. Forest have also been behind at half-time in eight of their last 13 away league fixtures, making the opening period particularly important for the visitors.
Nicola Savona is unavailable through injury, and Ibrahim Sangare faces a fitness test. James McAtee is an option if Sangare cannot play, while Daniel Munoz may make his full debut. Forest have no European schedule this season and are already out of the Carabao Cup, leaving them with fewer competitions to manage.
This match brings together two teams that have yet to win in the Premier League, but the available statistics offer contrasting signals. Villa have drawn a blank in all three league games, while Forest have scored in only one of their opening league and cup fixtures. On the other hand, Villa's 3-2 victory in Brugge demonstrated that their attack can produce when chances are converted, and Forest's long run of away matches featuring at least two total goals points towards a contest with more attacking potential than the early league records might suggest.
The head-to-head numbers also favor Aston Villa. In the supplied summary, Villa have three wins, one draw and one defeat against Forest, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The latest meeting finished 4-0 on May 7, 2026. Current win probabilities give Villa a 42% chance, compared with 25% for the draw and 33% for Nottingham Forest.
Villa's need for a first league goal should encourage a more productive attacking display after the confidence gained in Europe. Forest, meanwhile, have already participated in a four-goal league match and travel with away statistics that consistently feature goals. The strongest individual trend concerns the first half: every one of Forest's last 13 Premier League away fixtures has produced at least one goal before half-time. Villa's 4-0 opening defeat, in which every goal arrived in the first half, adds further relevance to that market. An early breakthrough therefore appears to be the most coherent conclusion from the available match data.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest prediction from BetMines: Over 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 72% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
2
8
6
4
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1