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Prediction published on Jan 30, 2026 2:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone C | Modified on Jan 30, 2026 2:01 PM
The upcoming Serie C clash between Atalanta Under 23 and Benevento promises to be a fascinating encounter between two sides living very different moments in their season. The young Bergamaschi are struggling to find consistency, while the visitors arrive in Caravaggio as league leaders and in excellent form. The match is scheduled for Sunday at 14:30 and could have significant implications for both ends of the table.
Atalanta II have endured a difficult run of results in recent weeks. After a home defeat against Salernitana that ended with two red cards and the dismissal of their coach, they managed only a 1-1 draw away to Altamura. That result, while halting a losing streak, did little to ease the pressure on a side that has struggled to convert performances into points.
In their last five matches, Atalanta II have recorded just one win, one draw, and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 7 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. These numbers underline a team that can compete but often lacks the cutting edge to secure victories.
Currently sitting 12th in Serie C – Girone C, Atalanta II will be desperate to rediscover their early-season form and take advantage of playing at home. However, facing the league leaders is a daunting task, especially given their previous head-to-head meeting ended in a 2-0 defeat back in September 2025.
Benevento travel to Caravaggio full of confidence and momentum. The Sanniti are joint top of the table and have been in outstanding form, winning four of their last five matches and drawing the other. Their most recent outing was a thrilling 3-2 victory over Siracusa, which extended their unbeaten run and reinforced their title credentials.
Across the season, Benevento have collected 16 wins, 3 draws, and only 4 defeats, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Their defensive solidity has been a cornerstone of their success, as shown by the fact that they have avoided defeat at half time in 23 of their last 24 matches. Even away from home, they have maintained remarkable consistency, remaining unbeaten at the break in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures.
Another interesting trend is their control of the game tempo: Under 10.5 corners have been recorded in each of their last 17 league matches, and Under 7.5 corners in their last four away games. This suggests a disciplined, efficient approach that limits chaos and maximizes control.
This fixture pits a struggling young side against one of the most consistent teams in the division. Atalanta II will look to exploit home advantage and perhaps catch Benevento off guard, but their recent performances suggest they may find it difficult to contain the visitors’ attacking power. With Benevento averaging more than two goals per match and boasting one of the best defenses in the league, the balance of power clearly tilts toward the visitors.
For Benevento, maintaining focus will be key. Despite their strong position, they cannot afford complacency, especially against a side that has shown flashes of resilience. However, the difference in form, confidence, and experience between the two squads is significant. If Benevento impose their rhythm early, they could well extend their unbeaten streak and strengthen their grip on first place.
Historically, the head-to-head record also favors Benevento, who won the only previous meeting between these sides 2-0. Given the current dynamics, a similar outcome would not be surprising.
Based on the data and recent performances, Benevento enter this match as clear favorites. Their superior attacking numbers, defensive stability, and consistency across the season make them the logical pick for this encounter. The algorithmic forecast gives them a 41% probability of victory, compared to 29% for Atalanta II and 29% for a draw.
Atalanta Under 23 vs Benevento prediction from BetMines: Away Win (2) with 41% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Atalanta II
Benevento
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0